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Average Weather in Knik-Fairview Alaska, United States

In Knik-Fairview, the summers are cool and mostly cloudy and the winters are long, freezing, snowy, and partly cloudy. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 11°F to 67°F and is rarely below -12°F or above 76°F.

Climate Summary

freezingvery coldcoldcoolcomfortablecoolcoldfreezingJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec50%50%37%37%overcastclearprecipitation: 3.0 inprecipitation: 3.0 in0.5 in0.5 inmuggy: 0%muggy: 0%0%0%drydrytourism score: 3.7tourism score: 3.70.00.0
Click on each chart for more information.

Based on the tourism score, the best time of year to visit Knik-Fairview for warm-weather activities is from late June to early August.

Temperature

The warm season lasts for 3.9 months, from May 15 to September 10, with an average daily high temperature above 58°F. The hottest day of the year is July 7, with an average high of 67°F and low of 52°F.

The cold season lasts for 3.9 months, from November 6 to March 3, with an average daily high temperature below 32°F. The coldest day of the year is January 18, with an average low of 11°F and high of 23°F.

Average High and Low Temperature

The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature

Average Hourly Temperature in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec12 AM4 AM8 AM12 PM4 PM8 PM12 AMfreezingfreezingcoldcoolcoolvery coldvery coldcomfortable
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands: frigid < 15°F < freezing < 32°F < very cold < 45°F < cold < 55°F < cool < 65°F < comfortable < 75°F < warm < 85°F < hot < 95°F < sweltering. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Raufoss, Norway (3,930 miles away) and Roknäs, Sweden (3,663 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Knik-Fairview (view comparison).

Clouds

In Knik-Fairview, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences mild seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The clearer part of the year in Knik-Fairview begins around January 30 and lasts for 2.6 months, ending around April 18. On March 16, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 50% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 50% of the time.

The cloudier part of the year begins around April 18 and lasts for 9.4 months, ending around January 30. On July 10, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 63% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 37% of the time.

Cloud Cover Categories

Cloud Cover Categories in Knik-FairviewclearercloudierJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%Mar 1650%Mar 1650%Jul 1037%Jul 1037%Jan 3044%Jan 3044%Apr 1844%Apr 1844%clearmostly clearpartly cloudymostly cloudyovercast
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds: clear < 20% < mostly clear < 40% < partly cloudy < 60% < mostly cloudy < 80% < overcast.

Precipitation

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Knik-Fairview varies throughout the year.

The wetter season lasts 3.9 months, from June 27 to October 24, with a greater than 25% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 39% on September 19.

The drier season lasts 8.1 months, from October 24 to June 27. The smallest chance of a wet day is 11% on March 28.

Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation in Knik-Fairview changes throughout the year.

Rain alone is the most common for 7.7 months, from March 17 to November 6. The highest chance of a day with rain alone is 39% on September 9.

Snow alone is the most common for 4.3 months, from November 6 to March 17. The highest chance of a day with snow alone is 13% on December 15.

Daily Chance of Precipitation

Daily Chance of Precipitation in Knik-FairviewsnowrainsnowJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Sep 1939%Sep 1939%Mar 2811%Mar 2811%Nov 620%Nov 620%Jan 120%Jan 120%Jun 2725%Jun 2725%snowrainmixed
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Knik-Fairview experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.

The rainy period of the year lasts for 7.6 months, from April 16 to December 4, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around August 26, with an average total accumulation of 3.0 inches.

The rainless period of the year lasts for 4.4 months, from December 4 to April 16. The least rain falls around March 8, with an average total accumulation of 0.3 inches.

Average Monthly Rainfall

The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average liquid-equivalent snowfall.

Snowfall

We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.

As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Knik-Fairview experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.

The snowy period of the year lasts for 6.2 months, from October 5 to April 12, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around December 21, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.7 inches.

The snowless period of the year lasts for 5.8 months, from April 12 to October 5. The least snow falls around July 25, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall in Knik-FairviewsnowsnowJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0.0 in0.5 in1.0 in1.5 in2.0 in2.5 in3.0 inDec 210.7 inDec 210.7 inJul 250.0 inJul 250.0 inOct 50.1 inOct 50.1 inApr 120.1 inApr 120.1 in
The average liquid-equivalent snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Sun

The length of the day in Knik-Fairview varies extremely over the course of the year. In 2017, the shortest day is December 21, with 5 hours, 20 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 20, with 19 hours, 31 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hr12 hr, 11 minMar 2012 hr, 11 minMar 2019 hr, 31 minJun 2019 hr, 31 minJun 2012 hr, 13 minSep 2212 hr, 13 minSep 225 hr, 20 minDec 215 hr, 20 minDec 21nightnightday
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise is at 4:14 AM on June 19, and the latest sunrise is 6 hours, 3 minutes later at 10:17 AM on December 26. The earliest sunset is at 3:35 PM on December 16, and the latest sunset is 8 hours, 10 minutes later at 11:45 PM on June 22.

Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Knik-Fairview during 2017, starting in the spring on March 12, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 5.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AM2 AMJun 194:14 AMJun 194:14 AM11:45 PMJun 2211:45 PMJun 22Dec 163:35 PMDec 163:35 PM10:17 AMDec 2610:17 AMDec 26Mar 12DSTMar 12DSTDSTNov 5DSTNov 5daynightnightnightnightSolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunset
The solar day over the course of the year 2017. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray. The transitions to and from daylight saving time are indicated by the 'DST' labels.

Humidity

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The perceived humidity level in Knik-Fairview, as measured by the percentage of time in which the humidity comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable, does not vary significantly over the course of the year, remaining a virtually constant 0% throughout.

Humidity Comfort Levels

Humidity Comfort Levels in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Jan 110%Jan 110%Jul 130%Jul 130%drydry
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point: dry < 55°F < comfortable < 60°F < humid < 65°F < muggy < 70°F < oppressive < 75°F < miserable.

Wind

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Knik-Fairview experiences mild seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The windier part of the year lasts for 5.3 months, from November 6 to April 16, with average wind speeds of more than 5.2 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is January 8, with an average hourly wind speed of 6.6 miles per hour.

The calmer time of year lasts for 6.7 months, from April 16 to November 6. The calmest day of the year is July 6, with an average hourly wind speed of 3.7 miles per hour.

Average Wind Speed

Average Wind Speed in Knik-FairviewwindywindyJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 mph1 mph2 mph3 mph4 mph5 mph6 mph7 mph8 mph9 mph10 mph11 mphJan 86.6 mphJan 86.6 mphJul 63.7 mphJul 63.7 mphNov 65.2 mphNov 65.2 mphApr 165.2 mphApr 165.2 mph
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The predominant average hourly wind direction in Knik-Fairview varies throughout the year.

The wind is most often from the south for 4.2 months, from May 3 to September 10, with a peak percentage of 62% on July 3. The wind is most often from the east for 7.8 months, from September 10 to May 3, with a peak percentage of 68% on January 1.

Wind Direction

Wind Direction in Knik-FairviewESEJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%southeastnorthwest
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions (north, east, south, and west), excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Water Temperature

Knik-Fairview is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.

The average water temperature experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The time of year with warmer water lasts for 2.5 months, from July 7 to September 22, with an average temperature above 48°F. The day of the year with the warmest water is August 16, with an average temperature of 52°F.

The time of year with cooler water lasts for 6.0 months, from November 16 to May 15, with an average temperature below 36°F. The day of the year with the coolest water is March 3, with an average temperature of 32°F.

Average Water Temperature

The daily average water temperature (purple line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Best Time of Year to Visit

To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Knik-Fairview throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.

The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Knik-Fairview for general outdoor tourist activities is from late June to early August, with a peak score in the third week of July.

Tourism Score

Tourism Score in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec02468103.73.70.00.0 precipitationprecipitationcloudscloudstemperaturetemperaturetourism score
The tourism score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Knik-Fairview for hot-weather activities is from late June to late July, with a peak score in the second week of July.

Beach/Pool Score

Beach/Pool Score in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec02468100.20.20.00.0 precipitationprecipitationcloudscloudstemperaturetemperature
The beach/pool score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

Methodology

For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.

Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.

Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.

Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.

Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.

Growing Season

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

The growing season in Knik-Fairview typically lasts for 4.8 months (147 days), from around May 2 to around September 25, rarely starting before April 15 or after May 18, and rarely ending before September 7 or after October 14.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in Knik-Fairviewgrowing seasonJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%May 250%May 250%Sep 2550%Sep 2550%May 1890%May 1890%Sep 790%Sep 790%Apr 1510%Apr 1510%Oct 1410%Oct 1410%0%Dec 10%Dec 1Jul 13100%Jul 13100%frigidfreezingvery coldcoldcool
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands: frigid < 15°F < freezing < 32°F < very cold < 45°F < cold < 55°F < cool < 65°F < comfortable < 75°F < warm < 85°F < hot < 95°F < sweltering. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Knik-Fairview should appear around May 28, only rarely appearing before May 19 or after June 10.

Growing Degree Days

Growing Degree Days in Knik-FairviewJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0°F200°F400°F600°F800°F1,000°FMay 2890°FMay 2890°FDec 31886°FDec 31886°F
The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the year, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Solar Energy

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.0 months, from April 30 to July 30, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 4.7 kWh. The brightest day of the year is June 8, with an average of 5.9 kWh.

The darker period of the year lasts for 4.1 months, from October 18 to February 21, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 1.3 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 21, with an average of 0.1 kWh.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy

The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Topography

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Knik-Fairview are 61.513 deg latitude, -149.600 deg longitude, and 141 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Knik-Fairview contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 430 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 165 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (3,153 feet). Within 50 miles contains large variations in elevation (9,386 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Knik-Fairview is covered by trees (37%), herbaceous vegetation (26%), and sparse vegetation (16%), within 10 miles by trees (37%) and sparse vegetation (20%), and within 50 miles by trees (28%) and shrubs (20%).

Data Sources

This report illustrates the typical weather in Knik-Fairview, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Knik-Fairview.

For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Knik-Fairview according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

The estimated value at Knik-Fairview is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Knik-Fairview and a given station.

The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: New Wasilla Airport (57%, 7 kilometers, northeast); Birchwood Airport (42%, 12 kilometers, southeast); and Hayes River, Hayes River Airport (1.0%, 141 kilometers, northwest).

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.

Disclaimer

The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.

We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.

We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.