Average Weather at The Villages Florida, United States
At The Villages, the summers are long, hot, oppressive, and mostly cloudy; the winters are short, cool, and partly cloudy; and it is wet year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 47°F to 90°F and is rarely below 32°F or above 94°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best times of year to visit The Villages for warm-weather activities are from mid March to mid May and from early October to late November.
The hot season lasts for 4.6 months, from May 11 to September 29, with an average daily high temperature above 86°F. The hottest day of the year is July 17, with an average high of 90°F and low of 73°F.
The cool season lasts for 2.7 months, from December 4 to February 24, with an average daily high temperature below 73°F. The coldest day of the year is January 15, with an average low of 47°F and high of 68°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
At The Villages, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year at The Villages begins around September 28 and lasts for 8.3 months, ending around June 6. On May 1, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 65% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 35% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around June 6 and lasts for 3.7 months, ending around September 28. On July 11, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 66% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 34% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days at The Villages varies very significantly throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 3.7 months, from June 1 to September 22, with a greater than 44% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 72% on August 7.
The drier season lasts 8.3 months, from September 22 to June 1. The smallest chance of a wet day is 16% on November 22.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation throughout the year is rain alone, with a peak probability of 72% on August 7.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. The Villages experiences extreme seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
Rain falls throughout the year at The Villages. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around June 27, with an average total accumulation of 6.1 inches.
The least rain falls around November 10, with an average total accumulation of 1.7 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
The length of the day at The Villages varies over the course of the year. In 2017, the shortest day is December 21, with 10 hours, 18 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 13 hours, 60 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 6:28 AM on June 10, and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 14 minutes later at 7:42 AM on November 4. The earliest sunset is at 5:29 PM on December 1, and the latest sunset is 3 hours, 1 minute later at 8:30 PM on July 1.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed at The Villages during 2017, starting in the spring on March 12, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 5.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The Villages experiences extreme seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 6.7 months, from April 26 to November 15, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 29% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is August 6, with muggy conditions 99% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is January 30, with muggy conditions 6% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed at The Villages experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 8.1 months, from September 29 to June 2, with average wind speeds of more than 7.3 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is March 10, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.9 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 3.9 months, from June 2 to September 29. The calmest day of the year is July 23, with an average hourly wind speed of 5.6 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction at The Villages varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the west for 1.0 months, from February 17 to March 18 and for 2.1 months, from June 12 to August 14, with a peak percentage of 39% on July 12. The wind is most often from the east for 2.8 months, from March 18 to June 12 and for 2.2 months, from August 14 to October 20, with a peak percentage of 49% on September 11. The wind is most often from the north for 3.9 months, from October 20 to February 17, with a peak percentage of 37% on January 1.
The Villages is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average water temperature experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The time of year with warmer water lasts for 4.0 months, from June 1 to October 3, with an average temperature above 81°F. The day of the year with the warmest water is July 24, with an average temperature of 86°F.
The time of year with cooler water lasts for 3.2 months, from December 15 to March 22, with an average temperature below 67°F. The day of the year with the coolest water is February 3, with an average temperature of 62°F.
Average Water Temperature
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is at The Villages throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best times of year to visit The Villages for general outdoor tourist activities are from mid March to mid May and from early October to late November, with a peak score in the last week of April.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best times of year to visit The Villages for hot-weather activities are from late April to mid June and from early September to mid October, with a peak score in the third week of May.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season at The Villages typically lasts for 10 months (318 days), from around February 7 to around December 23, rarely starting after March 6, or ending before November 26.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms at The Villages should appear around January 11, only rarely appearing before January 7 or after January 18.
Growing Degree Days
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 2.1 months, from April 3 to June 6, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 6.1 kWh. The brightest day of the year is May 1, with an average of 6.8 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 2.6 months, from November 11 to February 1, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 4.0 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 21, with an average of 3.3 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of The Villages are 28.967 deg latitude, -81.967 deg longitude, and 75 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of The Villages contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 102 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 78 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (144 feet). Within 50 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (305 feet).
The area within 2 miles of The Villages is covered by artificial surfaces (60%) and cropland (35%), within 10 miles by cropland (47%) and artificial surfaces (20%), and within 50 miles by trees (27%) and herbaceous vegetation (26%).
This report illustrates the typical weather at The Villages, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
The Villages has a weather station that reported reliably enough during the analysis period that we have included it in our network. When available, historical temperature and dew point measurements are taken directly from this weather station. These records are obtained from NOAA's Integrated Surface Hourly data set, falling back on ICAO METAR records as required.
In the case of missing or erroneous measurements from this station, we fall back on records from nearby stations, adjusted according to typical seasonal and diurnal intra-station differences. For a given day of the year and hour of the day, the fallback station is selected to minimize the prediction error over the years for which there are measurements for both stations.
The stations on which we may fall back include but are not limited to Leesburg International Airport, Ocala International Airport, Inverness Airport, Crystal River Airport, Hernando County Airport, Orlando Sanford International Airport, Executive Airport, and Gainesville Regional Airport.
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.