Average Weather in October in Carrollwood Florida, United States
Daily high temperatures decrease by 6°F, from 87°F to 81°F, rarely falling below 74°F or exceeding 91°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 8°F, from 71°F to 62°F, rarely falling below 53°F or exceeding 75°F.
For reference, on August 11, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Carrollwood typically range from 75°F to 90°F, while on January 15, the coldest day of the year, they range from 51°F to 70°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in October
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on October. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Formosa, Argentina (4,084 miles away); Nantou, Taiwan (8,539 miles); and Rockhampton, Australia (9,157 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Carrollwood (view comparison).
The month of October in Carrollwood experiences rapidly decreasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy decreasing from 52% to 37%.
The clearest day of the month is October 27, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 63% of the time.
For reference, on July 10, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 67%, while on May 1, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 64%.
Cloud Cover Categories in October
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Carrollwood, the chance of a wet day over the course of October is very rapidly decreasing, starting the month at 37% and ending it at 16%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 72% on July 31, and its lowest chance is 14% on November 25.
Probability of Precipitation in October
To show variation within the month and not just the monthly total, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during October in Carrollwood is very rapidly decreasing, starting the month at 4.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 7.6 inches or falls below 1.4 inches, and ending the month at 1.8 inches, when it rarely exceeds 3.6 inches or falls below 0.2 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in October
Over the course of October in Carrollwood, the length of the day is decreasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day decreases by 47 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 1 minute, 35 seconds, and weekly decrease of 11 minutes, 5 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is October 31, with 11 hours, 6 minutes of daylight and the longest day is October 1, with 11 hours, 53 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in October
The earliest sunrise of the month in Carrollwood is 7:22 AM on October 1 and the latest sunrise is 18 minutes later at 7:40 AM on October 31.
The latest sunset is 7:16 PM on October 1 and the earliest sunset is 30 minutes earlier at 6:46 PM on October 31.
Daylight saving time is observed in Carrollwood during 2019, but it neither starts nor ends during October, so the entire month is in daylight saving time.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 6:34 AM and sets 13 hours, 55 minutes later, at 8:29 PM, while on December 22, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 7:17 AM and sets 10 hours, 22 minutes later, at 5:39 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in October
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Carrollwood is very rapidly decreasing during October, falling from 83% to 40% over the course of the month.
For reference, on July 22, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 100% of the time, while on January 25, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 10% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in October
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Carrollwood is increasing during October, increasing from 8.5 miles per hour to 9.6 miles per hour over the course of the month.
For reference, on March 10, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 10.2 miles per hour, while on July 20, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 6.0 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in October
The wind direction in Carrollwood during October is predominantly out of the east from October 1 to October 23 and the north from October 23 to October 31.
Wind Direction in October
Carrollwood is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Carrollwood is decreasing during October, falling by 6°F, from 82°F to 76°F, over the course of the month.
Average Water Temperature in October
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
While it does not do so every year, freezing temperatures are seen in Carrollwood over some winters. The day least likely to be in the growing season is January 12, with a 64% chance.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Carrollwood are rapidly increasing during October, increasing by 727°F, from 6,336°F to 7,063°F, over the course of the month.
Growing Degree Days in October
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Carrollwood is essentially constant during October, remaining within 0.2 kWh of 4.6 kWh throughout.
The highest average daily incident shortwave solar energy during October is 4.8 kWh on October 9.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in October
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Carrollwood are 28.050 deg latitude, -82.493 deg longitude, and 36 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Carrollwood is essentially flat, with a maximum elevation change of 39 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 39 feet. Within 10 miles is also essentially flat (82 feet). Within 50 miles is essentially flat (295 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Carrollwood is covered by artificial surfaces (96%), within 10 miles by artificial surfaces (71%) and herbaceous vegetation (13%), and within 50 miles by water (38%) and artificial surfaces (23%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Carrollwood year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Carrollwood.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Carrollwood according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Carrollwood is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Carrollwood and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Tampa International Airport (58%, 11 kilometers, southwest); Tampa, Vandenberg Airport (35%, 15 kilometers, east); and Hernando County Airport (6%, 47 kilometers, north).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.