Average Weather in Lake Shore Minnesota, United States
In Lake Shore, the summers are long and warm; the winters are freezing, snowy, and windy; and it is partly cloudy year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 2°F to 81°F and is rarely below -21°F or above 90°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best time of year to visit Lake Shore for warm-weather activities is from late June to late August.
The warm season lasts for 3.9 months, from May 19 to September 15, with an average daily high temperature above 69°F. The hottest day of the year is July 18, with an average high of 81°F and low of 60°F.
The cold season lasts for 3.3 months, from November 25 to March 2, with an average daily high temperature below 32°F. The coldest day of the year is January 15, with an average low of 2°F and high of 20°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
In Lake Shore, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year in Lake Shore begins around June 2 and lasts for 4.3 months, ending around October 11. On July 31, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 73% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 27% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around October 11 and lasts for 7.7 months, ending around June 2. On February 5, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 64% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 36% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Lake Shore varies significantly throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 5.4 months, from April 24 to October 4, with a greater than 23% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 41% on June 29.
The drier season lasts 6.7 months, from October 4 to April 24. The smallest chance of a wet day is 6% on February 3.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation in Lake Shore changes throughout the year.
Rain alone is the most common for 8.3 months, from March 13 to November 20. The highest chance of a day with rain alone is 41% on June 29.
Snow alone is the most common for 3.7 months, from November 20 to March 13. The highest chance of a day with snow alone is 7% on December 25.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Lake Shore experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
The rainy period of the year lasts for 8.4 months, from March 11 to November 23, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around June 21, with an average total accumulation of 4.0 inches.
The rainless period of the year lasts for 3.6 months, from November 23 to March 11. The least rain falls around January 25, with an average total accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.
As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Lake Shore experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.
The snowy period of the year lasts for 6.0 months, from October 26 to April 25, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around March 5, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.4 inches.
The snowless period of the year lasts for 6.0 months, from April 25 to October 26. The least snow falls around July 20, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall
The length of the day in Lake Shore varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2018, the shortest day is December 21, with 8 hours, 35 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 15 hours, 49 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 5:23 AM on June 16, and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 38 minutes later at 8:02 AM on November 3. The earliest sunset is at 4:30 PM on December 10, and the latest sunset is 4 hours, 44 minutes later at 9:14 PM on June 25.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Lake Shore during 2018, starting in the spring on March 11, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 4.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
Lake Shore experiences some seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 3.2 months, from June 9 to September 15, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 7% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 20, with muggy conditions 27% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is November 29, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.
Humidity Comfort Levels
The average hourly wind speed in Lake Shore experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 8.4 months, from September 12 to May 25, with average wind speeds of more than 11.1 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is April 2, with an average hourly wind speed of 12.7 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 3.6 months, from May 25 to September 12. The calmest day of the year is August 1, with an average hourly wind speed of 9.5 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction in Lake Shore varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the north for 4.2 months, from January 4 to May 11, with a peak percentage of 35% on April 10. The wind is most often from the south for 5.4 months, from May 11 to October 22 and for 3.3 weeks, from October 24 to November 16, with a peak percentage of 39% on August 27. The wind is most often from the west for 2.0 days, from October 22 to October 24 and for 1.6 months, from November 16 to January 4, with a peak percentage of 31% on October 23.
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Lake Shore throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Lake Shore for general outdoor tourist activities is from late June to late August, with a peak score in the last week of July.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Lake Shore for hot-weather activities is from early July to mid August, with a peak score in the last week of July.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
The growing season in Lake Shore typically lasts for 4.5 months (140 days), from around May 10 to around September 27, rarely starting before April 22 or after May 29, and rarely ending before September 11 or after October 14.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Lake Shore should appear around April 30, only rarely appearing before April 18 or after May 15.
Growing Degree Days
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from May 5 to August 21, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.8 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 10, with an average of 7.0 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 3.4 months, from October 27 to February 11, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 2.4 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 20, with an average of 1.3 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Lake Shore are 46.486 deg latitude, -94.361 deg longitude, and 1,217 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Lake Shore contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 118 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,215 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (354 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (860 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Lake Shore is covered by trees (48%) and water (47%), within 10 miles by trees (67%) and water (19%), and within 50 miles by trees (54%) and cropland (31%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Lake Shore, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Lake Shore.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Lake Shore according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Lake Shore is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Lake Shore and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Brainerd Lakes Regional Airport (49%, 20 kilometers, southeast); Pine River Regional Airport (31%, 27 kilometers, north); and Staples Municipal Airport (20%, 36 kilometers, west).
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .