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Average Weather in Socavón (El Carmen) Mexico

In Socavón (El Carmen), the summers are short and warm, the winters are short and cool, and it is dry and partly cloudy year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 43°F to 84°F and is rarely below 35°F or above 91°F.

Climate Summary

comfortablewarmcomfortableJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec66%66%23%23%clearovercastprecipitation: 3.9 inprecipitation: 3.9 in0.2 in0.2 inmuggy: 0%muggy: 0%0%0%drydrytourism score: 6.8tourism score: 6.83.13.1
Click on each chart for more information.

Based on the tourism score, the best time of year to visit Socavón (El Carmen) for warm-weather activities is from late April to mid June.

Temperature

The warm season lasts for 2.3 months, from April 4 to June 13, with an average daily high temperature above 81°F. The hottest day of the year is May 11, with an average high of 84°F and low of 57°F.

The cool season lasts for 2.2 months, from November 28 to February 5, with an average daily high temperature below 73°F. The coldest day of the year is January 12, with an average low of 43°F and high of 70°F.

Average High and Low Temperature

The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature

Average Hourly Temperature in Socavón (El Carmen)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec12 AM4 AM8 AM12 PM4 PM8 PM12 AMcoldcoldcoolcoolcoolcomfortablewarmcoldcoldvery coldvery coldcomfortable
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands: frigid < 15°F < freezing < 32°F < very cold < 45°F < cold < 55°F < cool < 65°F < comfortable < 75°F < warm < 85°F < hot < 95°F < sweltering. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Lalapanzi, Zimbabwe (9,289 miles away); Sanaa, Yemen (8,953 miles); and Soavinandriana, Madagascar (10,347 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Socavón (El Carmen) (view comparison).

Clouds

In Socavón (El Carmen), the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The clearer part of the year in Socavón (El Carmen) begins around October 26 and lasts for 7.7 months, ending around June 17. On May 16, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 66% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 34% of the time.

The cloudier part of the year begins around June 17 and lasts for 4.3 months, ending around October 26. On September 15, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 77% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 23% of the time.

Cloud Cover Categories

Cloud Cover Categories in Socavón (El Carmen)clearerclearercloudierJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%May 1666%May 1666%Sep 1523%Sep 1523%Oct 2644%Oct 2644%Jun 1746%Jun 1746%clearmostly clearpartly cloudymostly cloudyovercast
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds: clear < 20% < mostly clear < 40% < partly cloudy < 60% < mostly cloudy < 80% < overcast.

Precipitation

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Socavón (El Carmen) varies significantly throughout the year.

The wetter season lasts 4.3 months, from May 26 to October 3, with a greater than 22% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 41% on July 15.

The drier season lasts 7.7 months, from October 3 to May 26. The smallest chance of a wet day is 3% on December 8.

Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation throughout the year is rain alone, with a peak probability of 41% on July 15.

Daily Chance of Precipitation

Daily Chance of Precipitation in Socavón (El Carmen)wetdrydryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Jul 1541%Jul 1541%Dec 83%Dec 83%May 2622%May 2622%Oct 322%Oct 322%rain
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Socavón (El Carmen) experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.

The rainy period of the year lasts for 6.7 months, from April 15 to November 4, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around July 6, with an average total accumulation of 3.9 inches.

The rainless period of the year lasts for 5.3 months, from November 4 to April 15. The least rain falls around December 12, with an average total accumulation of 0.2 inches.

Average Monthly Rainfall

The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average liquid-equivalent snowfall.

Sun

The length of the day in Socavón (El Carmen) varies over the course of the year. In 2018, the shortest day is December 21, with 10 hours, 48 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 13 hours, 28 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in Socavón (El Carmen)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hr12 hr, 6 minMar 2012 hr, 6 minMar 2013 hr, 28 minJun 2113 hr, 28 minJun 2112 hr, 7 minSep 2212 hr, 7 minSep 2210 hr, 48 minDec 2110 hr, 48 minDec 21nightnightday
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise is at 6:37 AM on March 31, and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 7 minutes later at 7:44 AM on October 27. The earliest sunset is at 5:59 PM on November 27, and the latest sunset is 2 hours, 32 minutes later at 8:30 PM on July 4.

Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Socavón (El Carmen) during 2018, starting in the spring on April 1, lasting 6.8 months, and ending in the fall on October 28.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in Socavón (El Carmen)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMMar 316:37 AMMar 316:37 AM8:30 PMJul 48:30 PMJul 4Nov 275:59 PMNov 275:59 PM7:44 AMOct 277:44 AMOct 27Apr 1DSTApr 1DSTDSTOct 28DSTOct 28daynightnightnightnightSolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunset
The solar day over the course of the year 2018. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray. The transitions to and from daylight saving time are indicated by the 'DST' labels.

Humidity

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The perceived humidity level in Socavón (El Carmen), as measured by the percentage of time in which the humidity comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable, does not vary significantly over the course of the year, remaining a virtually constant 0% throughout.

Humidity Comfort Levels

Humidity Comfort Levels in Socavón (El Carmen)JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Feb 190%Feb 190%Sep 210%Sep 210%comfortablecomfortabledrydryhumidhumid
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point: dry < 55°F < comfortable < 60°F < humid < 65°F < muggy < 70°F < oppressive < 75°F < miserable.

Wind

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Socavón (El Carmen) experiences mild seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The windier part of the year lasts for 4.0 months, from June 3 to October 3, with average wind speeds of more than 8.5 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is July 2, with an average hourly wind speed of 9.7 miles per hour.

The calmer time of year lasts for 8.0 months, from October 3 to June 3. The calmest day of the year is December 2, with an average hourly wind speed of 7.4 miles per hour.

Average Wind Speed

Average Wind Speed in Socavón (El Carmen)windyJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 mph2 mph4 mph6 mph8 mph10 mph12 mph14 mph16 mphJul 29.7 mphJul 29.7 mphDec 27.4 mphDec 27.4 mphOct 38.5 mphOct 38.5 mph
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The predominant average hourly wind direction in Socavón (El Carmen) varies throughout the year.

The wind is most often from the west for 2.1 months, from February 9 to April 12, with a peak percentage of 44% on March 27. The wind is most often from the east for 9.9 months, from April 12 to February 9, with a peak percentage of 42% on January 1.

Wind Direction

Wind Direction in Socavón (El Carmen)EWEJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%westeastsouth
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions (north, east, south, and west), excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Best Time of Year to Visit

To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Socavón (El Carmen) throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.

The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Socavón (El Carmen) for general outdoor tourist activities is from late April to mid June, with a peak score in the last week of May.

Tourism Score

Tourism Score in Socavón (El Carmen)best timeJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec02468106.86.83.13.15.65.65.25.2 precipitationprecipitationcloudscloudstemperaturetemperaturetourism score
The tourism score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Socavón (El Carmen) for hot-weather activities is from late April to mid June, with a peak score in the third week of May.

Beach/Pool Score

Beach/Pool Score in Socavón (El Carmen)best timeJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec02468103.83.81.01.02.32.3precipitationprecipitationcloudscloudsbeach/pool score
The beach/pool score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

Methodology

For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.

Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.

Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.

Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.

Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.

Growing Season

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

While it does not do so every year, freezing temperatures are seen in Socavón (El Carmen) over some winters. The day least likely to be in the growing season is January 6, with a 54% chance.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in Socavón (El Carmen)growing seasonJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%90%Feb 2690%Feb 2690%Nov 1890%Nov 1854%Jan 754%Jan 7Jul 8100%Jul 8100%very coldcoldcoolcomfortablewarmhot
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands: frigid < 15°F < freezing < 32°F < very cold < 45°F < cold < 55°F < cool < 65°F < comfortable < 75°F < warm < 85°F < hot < 95°F < sweltering. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Socavón (El Carmen) should appear around January 14, only rarely appearing before January 11 or after January 19.

Growing Degree Days

The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the year, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Solar Energy

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The brighter period of the year lasts for 4.8 months, from March 25 to August 18, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 7.0 kWh. The brightest day of the year is June 4, with an average of 7.6 kWh.

The darker period of the year lasts for 2.4 months, from November 16 to January 28, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 5.1 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 20, with an average of 4.5 kWh.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in Socavón (El Carmen)brightdarkdarkJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 kWh1 kWh2 kWh3 kWh4 kWh5 kWh6 kWh7 kWh8 kWh9 kWhJun 47.6 kWhJun 47.6 kWhDec 204.5 kWhDec 204.5 kWhMar 257.0 kWhMar 257.0 kWhAug 187.0 kWhAug 187.0 kWhJan 285.1 kWhJan 285.1 kWh
The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Topography

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Socavón (El Carmen) are 21.851 deg latitude, -100.872 deg longitude, and 5,955 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Socavón (El Carmen) contains significant variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 673 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 5,973 feet. Within 10 miles contains significant variations in elevation (3,317 feet). Within 50 miles also contains extreme variations in elevation (6,476 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Socavón (El Carmen) is covered by shrubs (71%), grassland (17%), and cropland (12%), within 10 miles by shrubs (45%) and grassland (43%), and within 50 miles by grassland (45%) and shrubs (32%).

Data Sources

This report illustrates the typical weather in Socavón (El Carmen), based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Socavón (El Carmen).

For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Socavón (El Carmen) according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

The estimated value at Socavón (El Carmen) is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Socavón (El Carmen) and a given station.

The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Ponciano Arriaga International Airport (71%, 45 kilometers, north); Del Bajío International Airport (17%, 116 kilometers, southwest); and Querétaro Intercontinental Airport (11%, 155 kilometers, southeast).

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.

Disclaimer

The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.

We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.

We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.