Average Weather in Monticello Kentucky, United States
In Monticello, the summers are warm and muggy, the winters are short and very cold, and it is wet and partly cloudy year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 27°F to 87°F and is rarely below 11°F or above 93°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best times of year to visit Monticello for warm-weather activities are from late May to late June and from late July to late September.
The hot season lasts for 3.9 months, from May 25 to September 21, with an average daily high temperature above 79°F. The hottest day of the year is July 21, with an average high of 87°F and low of 66°F.
The cold season lasts for 3.0 months, from November 29 to February 26, with an average daily high temperature below 53°F. The coldest day of the year is January 29, with an average low of 27°F and high of 45°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
Sant'Agata sul Santerno, Italy (4,796 miles away); Rosoman, Macedonia (5,329 miles); and Darzāb, Afghanistan (7,064 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Monticello (view comparison).
In Monticello, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year in Monticello begins around June 14 and lasts for 4.9 months, ending around November 11. On September 21, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 67% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 33% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around November 11 and lasts for 7.1 months, ending around June 14. On January 3, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 59% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 41% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Monticello varies throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 5.0 months, from March 19 to August 21, with a greater than 34% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 44% on July 8.
The drier season lasts 7.0 months, from August 21 to March 19. The smallest chance of a wet day is 23% on October 17.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation throughout the year is rain alone, with a peak probability of 44% on July 8.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Monticello experiences some seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
Rain falls throughout the year in Monticello. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around May 3, with an average total accumulation of 4.4 inches.
The least rain falls around October 20, with an average total accumulation of 2.8 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.
As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Monticello experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.
The snowy period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from November 27 to March 11, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around January 25, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.3 inches.
The snowless period of the year lasts for 8.5 months, from March 11 to November 27. The least snow falls around July 24, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall
The length of the day in Monticello varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2018, the shortest day is December 21, with 9 hours, 38 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 14 hours, 41 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 6:19 AM on June 13, and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 46 minutes later at 8:05 AM on November 3. The earliest sunset is at 5:22 PM on December 6, and the latest sunset is 3 hours, 40 minutes later at 9:02 PM on June 28.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Monticello during 2018, starting in the spring on March 11, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 4.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
Monticello experiences extreme seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 4.2 months, from May 17 to September 23, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 20% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 25, with muggy conditions 81% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is December 25, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.
Humidity Comfort Levels
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
The average hourly wind speed in Monticello experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 6.4 months, from October 31 to May 11, with average wind speeds of more than 5.4 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is February 25, with an average hourly wind speed of 7.0 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 5.6 months, from May 11 to October 31. The calmest day of the year is August 1, with an average hourly wind speed of 3.9 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction in Monticello varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the west for 1.6 months, from January 5 to February 22 and for 1.8 months, from June 23 to August 16, with a peak percentage of 40% on July 13. The wind is most often from the south for 4.0 months, from February 22 to June 23 and for 4.6 months, from August 16 to January 5, with a peak percentage of 38% on May 15.
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Monticello throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best times of year to visit Monticello for general outdoor tourist activities are from late May to late June and from late July to late September, with a peak score in the first week of September.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Monticello for hot-weather activities is from mid June to early September, with a peak score in the last week of July.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
The growing season in Monticello typically lasts for 6.2 months (188 days), from around April 14 to around October 20, rarely starting before March 27 or after May 2, and rarely ending before September 29 or after November 9.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Monticello should appear around March 4, only rarely appearing before February 14 or after March 23.
Growing Degree Days
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 4.5 months, from April 20 to September 3, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.7 kWh. The brightest day of the year is June 23, with an average of 6.6 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 3.0 months, from November 10 to February 9, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 3.0 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 24, with an average of 2.1 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Monticello are 36.830 deg latitude, -84.849 deg longitude, and 1,007 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Monticello contains significant variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 794 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,017 feet. Within 10 miles contains significant variations in elevation (1,020 feet). Within 50 miles contains very significant variations in elevation (2,789 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Monticello is covered by cropland (59%), trees (26%), and artificial surfaces (15%), within 10 miles by trees (60%) and cropland (31%), and within 50 miles by trees (66%) and cropland (31%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Monticello, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 4 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Monticello.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Monticello according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Monticello is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Monticello and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Wayne County Airport (98%, 2.9 kilometers, north); Crossville Memorial Airport (0.5%, 100 kilometers, south); Oak Ridge (0.5%, 105 kilometers, southeast); and Upper Cumberland Regional Airport (0.5%, 106 kilometers, southwest).
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .