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Average Weather in Mancelona Michigan, United States

In Mancelona, the summers are comfortable and partly cloudy and the winters are freezing, snowy, windy, and overcast. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 11°F to 79°F and is rarely below -5°F or above 87°F.

The warm season lasts for 3.8 months, from May 23 to September 17, with an average daily high temperature above 68°F. The hottest day of the year is July 19, with an average high of 79°F and low of 57°F.

The cold season lasts for 3.4 months, from November 30 to March 12, with an average daily high temperature below 36°F. The coldest day of the year is January 29, with an average low of 11°F and high of 25°F.

Average High and Low Temperature

The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature

Average Hourly Temperature in Mancelona12 AM4 AM8 AM12 PM4 PM8 PM12 AMJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecfreezingchillycoldcoolcomfortablewarmfrigid
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands: frigid < 15°F < freezing < 32°F < chilly < 45°F < cold < 55°F < cool < 65°F < comfortable < 75°F < warm < 85°F < hot < 95°F < sweltering. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Clouds

In Mancelona, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The clearer part of the year in Mancelona begins around April 19 and lasts for 6.5 months, ending around November 3. On August 8, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 67% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 33% of the time.

The cloudier part of the year begins around November 3 and lasts for 5.5 months, ending around April 19. On January 11, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 78% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 22% of the time.

Cloud Cover

Cloud Cover in Mancelonaclearercloudiercloudier0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan 1178%Jan 1178%Aug 833%Aug 833%Apr 1956%Apr 1956%Nov 356%Nov 356%overcastmostly cloudypartly cloudyclear
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds: clear < 20% < mostly clear < 40% < partly cloudy < 60% < mostly cloudy < 80% < overcast.

Precipitation

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Mancelona varies throughout the year.

The wetter season lasts 7.5 months, from April 10 to November 25, with a greater than 26% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 36% on September 22.

The drier season lasts 4.5 months, from November 25 to April 10. The smallest chance of a wet day is 15% on February 4.

Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation in Mancelona changes throughout the year.

Rain alone is the most common for 8.8 months, from March 13 to December 5. The highest chance of a day with rain alone is 36% on September 22.

Snow alone is the most common for 3.2 months, from December 5 to March 13. The highest chance of a day with snow alone is 16% on January 11.

Daily Chance of Precipitation

Daily Chance of Precipitation in Mancelonasnowrainsnow0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecSep 2236%Sep 2236%Feb 415%Feb 415%Mar 1318%Mar 1318%Dec 524%Dec 524%Apr 1026%Apr 1026%snowmixedrain
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Mancelona experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.

The rainy period of the year lasts for 9.9 months, from February 28 to December 25, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around September 21, with an average total accumulation of 3.2 inches.

The rainless period of the year lasts for 2.1 months, from December 25 to February 28. The least rain falls around February 4, with an average total accumulation of 0.3 inches.

Average Monthly Rainfall

The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average liquid-equivalent snowfall.

Snowfall

We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.

As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Mancelona experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.

The snowy period of the year lasts for 6.1 months, from October 26 to April 29, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around January 3, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.8 inches.

The snowless period of the year lasts for 5.9 months, from April 29 to October 26. The least snow falls around July 15, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall in Mancelonasnowsnow0.0 in0.5 in1.0 in1.5 in2.0 in2.5 in3.0 in3.5 inJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan 30.8 inJan 30.8 inJul 150.0 inJul 150.0 inOct 260.1 inOct 260.1 inApr 290.1 inApr 290.1 in
The average liquid-equivalent snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Sun

The length of the day in Mancelona varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2017, the shortest day is December 21, with 8 hours, 47 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 15 hours, 36 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight

The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise is at 5:53 AM on June 15, and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 30 minutes later at 8:23 AM on November 4. The earliest sunset is at 4:58 PM on December 9, and the latest sunset is 4 hours, 32 minutes later at 9:30 PM on June 26.

Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Mancelona during 2017, starting in the spring on March 12, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 5.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in Mancelona2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJun 155:53 AMJun 155:53 AM9:30 PMJun 269:30 PMJun 26Dec 94:58 PMDec 94:58 PM8:23 AMNov 48:23 AMNov 4Mar 12DSTMar 12DSTDSTNov 5DSTNov 5daynightnightnightnight
The solar day over the course of the year 2017. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray. The transitions to and from daylight saving time are indicated by the 'DST' labels.

Humidity

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

Mancelona experiences some seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.

The muggier period of the year lasts for 3.3 months, from June 7 to September 17, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 4% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 30, with muggy conditions 16% of the time.

The least muggy day of the year is December 9, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.

Humidity Comfort Levels

Humidity Comfort Levels in Mancelonamuggy0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecDec 90%Dec 90%Jul 3016%Jul 3016%Jun 74%Jun 74%Sep 174%Sep 174%oppressiveoppressivehumidhumidcomfortablecomfortabledrydry
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point: dry < 55°F < comfortable < 60°F < humid < 65°F < muggy < 70°F < oppressive < 75°F < miserable.

Wind

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Mancelona experiences mild seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The windier part of the year lasts for 7.2 months, from October 1 to May 8, with average wind speeds of more than 5.5 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is January 13, with an average hourly wind speed of 6.7 miles per hour.

The calmer time of year lasts for 4.8 months, from May 8 to October 1. The calmest day of the year is August 3, with an average hourly wind speed of 4.3 miles per hour.

Average Wind Speed

Average Wind Speed in Mancelonawindywindy0 mph1 mph2 mph3 mph4 mph5 mph6 mph7 mph8 mph9 mph10 mphJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan 136.7 mphJan 136.7 mphAug 34.3 mphAug 34.3 mphOct 15.5 mphOct 15.5 mphMay 85.5 mphMay 85.5 mph
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The predominant average hourly wind direction in Mancelona varies throughout the year.

The wind is most often from the north for 2.6 months, from February 24 to May 13, with a peak percentage of 33% on March 8. The wind is most often from the south for 1.6 weeks, from May 13 to May 24 and for 2.5 months, from August 31 to November 14, with a peak percentage of 34% on October 2. The wind is most often from the west for 3.2 months, from May 24 to August 31 and for 3.4 months, from November 14 to February 24, with a peak percentage of 40% on July 18.

Wind Direction

Wind Direction in MancelonaWNSWSW0%20%40%60%80%100%JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecwestsoutheastnorth
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions (north, east, south, and west), excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Water Temperature

Mancelona is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.

The average water temperature experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The time of year with warmer water lasts for 2.5 months, from July 11 to September 26, with an average temperature above 61°F. The day of the year with the warmest water is August 14, with an average temperature of 68°F.

The time of year with cooler water lasts for 5.1 months, from December 18 to May 21, with an average temperature below 41°F. The day of the year with the coolest water is March 8, with an average temperature of 34°F.

Average Water Temperature

The daily average water temperature (purple line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Solar Energy

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from May 5 to August 21, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.8 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 1, with an average of 7.0 kWh.

The darker period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from October 28 to February 15, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 2.3 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 23, with an average of 1.1 kWh.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy

The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Topography

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Mancelona are 44.902 deg latitude, -85.061 deg longitude, and 1,132 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Mancelona contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 315 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,158 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (883 feet). Within 50 miles also contains very significant variations in elevation (1,234 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Mancelona is covered by cropland (35%), grassland (28%), and trees (28%), within 10 miles by trees (77%), and within 50 miles by trees (56%) and water (22%).

Data Sources

This report illustrates the typical weather in Mancelona, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Mancelona.

For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Mancelona according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

The estimated value at Mancelona is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Mancelona and a given station.

The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Antrim County Airport (50%, 15 kilometers, northwest); Gaylord Regional Airport (28%, 31 kilometers, northeast); and Grayling, Grayling Army Airfield (23%, 36 kilometers, southeast).

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.