Average Weather in Elk Rapids Michigan, United States
In Elk Rapids, the summers are warm and partly cloudy and the winters are freezing, dry, windy, and mostly cloudy. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 16°F to 79°F and is rarely below 0°F or above 88°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best time of year to visit Elk Rapids for warm-weather activities is from late June to early September.
The warm season lasts for 3.6 months, from May 29 to September 17, with an average daily high temperature above 69°F. The hottest day of the year is July 19, with an average high of 79°F and low of 59°F.
The cold season lasts for 3.4 months, from December 1 to March 13, with an average daily high temperature below 38°F. The coldest day of the year is January 29, with an average low of 16°F and high of 28°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
In Elk Rapids, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year in Elk Rapids begins around April 18 and lasts for 6.6 months, ending around November 6. On August 3, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 68% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 32% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around November 6 and lasts for 5.4 months, ending around April 18. On January 11, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 77% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 23% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Elk Rapids varies throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 7.5 months, from April 10 to November 25, with a greater than 26% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 35% on September 22.
The drier season lasts 4.5 months, from November 25 to April 10. The smallest chance of a wet day is 16% on February 4.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation in Elk Rapids changes throughout the year.
Rain alone is the most common for 9.5 months, from March 1 to December 14. The highest chance of a day with rain alone is 35% on September 22.
Snow alone is the most common for 2.5 months, from December 14 to March 1. The highest chance of a day with snow alone is 14% on January 3.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Elk Rapids experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
The rainy period of the year lasts for 11 months, from February 15 to January 10, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around September 21, with an average total accumulation of 3.2 inches.
The rainless period of the year lasts for 1.2 months, from January 10 to February 15. The least rain falls around February 3, with an average total accumulation of 0.4 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.
As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Elk Rapids experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.
The snowy period of the year lasts for 5.4 months, from November 6 to April 19, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around January 4, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.7 inches.
The snowless period of the year lasts for 6.6 months, from April 19 to November 6. The least snow falls around July 29, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall
The length of the day in Elk Rapids varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2021, the shortest day is December 21, with 8 hours, 47 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 20, with 15 hours, 36 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 5:54 AM on June 15, and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 32 minutes later at 8:27 AM on November 6. The earliest sunset is at 5:00 PM on December 9, and the latest sunset is 4 hours, 32 minutes later at 9:32 PM on June 25.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Elk Rapids during 2021, starting in the spring on March 14, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 7.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for 2021. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases.
Moon Rise, Set & Phases
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
Elk Rapids experiences some seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 3.2 months, from June 12 to September 18, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 5% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 30, with muggy conditions 19% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is February 26, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.
Humidity Comfort Levels
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Elk Rapids experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 6.9 months, from September 25 to April 23, with average wind speeds of more than 11.6 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is January 4, with an average hourly wind speed of 14.3 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 5.1 months, from April 23 to September 25. The calmest day of the year is July 22, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.9 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction in Elk Rapids varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the north for 2.8 months, from February 20 to May 13, with a peak percentage of 34% on March 8. The wind is most often from the south for 1.1 months, from May 13 to June 15 and for 2.8 months, from August 21 to November 15, with a peak percentage of 35% on October 2. The wind is most often from the west for 2.2 months, from June 15 to August 21 and for 3.2 months, from November 15 to February 20, with a peak percentage of 36% on July 19.
Elk Rapids is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average water temperature experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The time of year with warmer water lasts for 2.4 months, from July 12 to September 26, with an average temperature above 61°F. The day of the year with the warmest water is August 14, with an average temperature of 68°F.
The time of year with cooler water lasts for 5.1 months, from December 19 to May 21, with an average temperature below 41°F. The day of the year with the coolest water is March 8, with an average temperature of 35°F.
Average Water Temperature
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Elk Rapids throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Elk Rapids for general outdoor tourist activities is from late June to early September, with a peak score in the last week of July.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Elk Rapids for hot-weather activities is from early July to mid August, with a peak score in the last week of July.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season in Elk Rapids typically lasts for 4.9 months (149 days), from around May 16 to around October 12, rarely starting before April 28 or after June 2, and rarely ending before September 24 or after November 3.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Elk Rapids should appear around May 3, only rarely appearing before April 19 or after May 16.
Growing Degree Days
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from May 5 to August 20, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.9 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 1, with an average of 7.1 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 3.6 months, from October 30 to February 15, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 2.3 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 23, with an average of 1.1 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Elk Rapids are 44.896 deg latitude, -85.416 deg longitude, and 594 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Elk Rapids is essentially flat, with a maximum elevation change of 95 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 586 feet. Within 10 miles is essentially flat (430 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (1,234 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Elk Rapids is covered by water (67%) and artificial surfaces (12%), within 10 miles by water (54%) and trees (19%), and within 50 miles by trees (45%) and water (35%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Elk Rapids, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 2 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Elk Rapids.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Elk Rapids according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Elk Rapids is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Elk Rapids and a given station.
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.