Average Weather in Elk Creek Kentucky, United States
In Elk Creek, the summers are warm and muggy, the winters are very cold and wet, and it is partly cloudy year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 27°F to 87°F and is rarely below 11°F or above 93°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best times of year to visit Elk Creek for warm-weather activities are from early June to early July and from late July to late September.
The hot season lasts for 3.9 months, from May 26 to September 21, with an average daily high temperature above 78°F. The hottest day of the year is July 21, with an average high of 87°F and low of 69°F.
The cold season lasts for 3.0 months, from November 30 to February 28, with an average daily high temperature below 51°F. The coldest day of the year is January 29, with an average low of 27°F and high of 42°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
In Elk Creek, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year in Elk Creek begins around June 14 and lasts for 4.8 months, ending around November 7. On August 23, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 68% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 32% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around November 7 and lasts for 7.2 months, ending around June 14. On January 2, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 58% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 42% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Elk Creek varies throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 5.1 months, from March 18 to August 20, with a greater than 32% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 41% on May 11.
The drier season lasts 6.9 months, from August 20 to March 18. The smallest chance of a wet day is 23% on January 13.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation throughout the year is rain alone, with a peak probability of 41% on May 11.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Elk Creek experiences significant seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
Rain falls throughout the year in Elk Creek. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around May 7, with an average total accumulation of 4.6 inches.
The least rain falls around January 22, with an average total accumulation of 2.6 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.
As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Elk Creek experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.
The snowy period of the year lasts for 3.6 months, from November 29 to March 17, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around February 4, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.3 inches.
The snowless period of the year lasts for 8.4 months, from March 17 to November 29. The least snow falls around July 20, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall
The length of the day in Elk Creek varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2018, the shortest day is December 21, with 9 hours, 31 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 14 hours, 49 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 6:18 AM on June 13, and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 52 minutes later at 8:09 AM on November 3. The earliest sunset is at 5:21 PM on December 7, and the latest sunset is 3 hours, 47 minutes later at 9:08 PM on June 27.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Elk Creek during 2018, starting in the spring on March 11, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 4.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
Elk Creek experiences extreme seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 4.1 months, from May 21 to September 24, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 17% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 24, with muggy conditions 67% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is February 5, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.
Humidity Comfort Levels
The average hourly wind speed in Elk Creek experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 6.8 months, from October 21 to May 15, with average wind speeds of more than 7.1 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is February 25, with an average hourly wind speed of 9.1 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 5.2 months, from May 15 to October 21. The calmest day of the year is August 1, with an average hourly wind speed of 5.2 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction in Elk Creek varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the south for 3.3 months, from March 14 to June 24 and for 4.3 months, from August 14 to December 22, with a peak percentage of 40% on November 14. The wind is most often from the west for 1.7 months, from June 24 to August 14 and for 2.7 months, from December 22 to March 14, with a peak percentage of 37% on July 13.
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Elk Creek throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best times of year to visit Elk Creek for general outdoor tourist activities are from early June to early July and from late July to late September, with a peak score in the first week of September.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Elk Creek for hot-weather activities is from late June to early September, with a peak score in the last week of July.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
The growing season in Elk Creek typically lasts for 6.7 months (205 days), from around April 7 to around October 29, rarely starting before March 20 or after April 24, and rarely ending before October 12 or after November 15.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Elk Creek should appear around March 12, only rarely appearing before February 22 or after March 31.
Growing Degree Days
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 4.3 months, from April 23 to September 3, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.7 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 2, with an average of 6.7 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 3.0 months, from November 9 to February 9, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 2.9 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 23, with an average of 2.0 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Elk Creek are 38.100 deg latitude, -85.371 deg longitude, and 709 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Elk Creek contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 177 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 721 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (404 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (1,086 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Elk Creek is covered by cropland (98%), within 10 miles by cropland (66%) and trees (30%), and within 50 miles by cropland (51%) and trees (40%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Elk Creek, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Elk Creek.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Elk Creek according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Elk Creek is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Elk Creek and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Bowman Field (55%, 29 kilometers, northwest); Capital City Airport (33%, 42 kilometers, east); and Stuart Powell Field (13%, 79 kilometers, southeast).
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .