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Average Weather in Kara-Bak Kyrgyzstan

In Kara-Bak, the summers are hot, arid, and clear and the winters are very cold, dry, and partly cloudy. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 24°F to 90°F and is rarely below 15°F or above 96°F.

Based on the beach/pool score, the best time of year to visit Kara-Bak for hot-weather activities is from late June to mid August.

Climate Summary

very coldcoldcoolwarmhotwarmcoolcoldJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecNowNow97%97%38%38%clearprecipitation: 0.5 inprecipitation: 0.5 in0.1 in0.1 inmuggy: 0%muggy: 0%0%0%drydrybeach/pool score: 8.3beach/pool score: 8.30.00.0
Click on each chart for more information.

Temperature

The hot season lasts for 3.8 months, from May 22 to September 16, with an average daily high temperature above 80°F. The hottest day of the year is July 15, with an average high of 90°F and low of 67°F.

The cold season lasts for 3.3 months, from November 24 to March 2, with an average daily high temperature below 48°F. The coldest day of the year is January 14, with an average low of 24°F and high of 38°F.

Average High and Low Temperature

Average High and Low Temperature in Kara-BakhotcoldcoldJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0°F0°F10°F10°F20°F20°F30°F30°F40°F40°F50°F50°F60°F60°F70°F70°F80°F80°F90°F90°F100°F100°FJan 1438°FJan 1438°FJul 1590°FJul 1590°F24°F24°F67°F67°FMay 2280°FMay 2280°FSep 1680°FSep 1680°FNov 2448°FNov 2448°FMar 248°FMar 248°F58°F58°F55°F55°F33°F33°F32°F32°FNowNow
The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature

Average Hourly Temperature in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec12 AM12 AM4 AM4 AM8 AM8 AM12 PM12 PM4 PM4 PM8 PM8 PM12 AM12 AMNowNowfreezingfreezingvery coldvery coldcoldcoldcoolcoolcomfortablewarmhotfreezingfreezing
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Albany, Missouri, United States (6,878 miles away) and Olney, Illinois, United States (6,833 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Kara-Bak (view comparison).

Clouds

In Kara-Bak, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The clearer part of the year in Kara-Bak begins around May 25 and lasts for 4.8 months, ending around October 18. On August 16, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 97% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 3% of the time.

The cloudier part of the year begins around October 18 and lasts for 7.2 months, ending around May 25. On March 2, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 62% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 38% of the time.

Cloud Cover Categories

Cloud Cover Categories in Kara-BakclearercloudiercloudierJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%Aug 1697%Aug 1697%Mar 238%Mar 238%May 2567%May 2567%Oct 1868%Oct 1868%NowNowclearovercastmostly clearpartly cloudy
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds.

Precipitation

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Kara-Bak varies throughout the year.

The wetter season lasts 7.5 months, from October 15 to May 31, with a greater than 7% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 13% on March 24.

The drier season lasts 4.5 months, from May 31 to October 15. The smallest chance of a wet day is 1% on August 31.

Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation throughout the year is rain alone, with a peak probability of 12% on March 24.

Daily Chance of Precipitation

Daily Chance of Precipitation in Kara-BakwetwetdryJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%0%10%10%20%20%30%30%40%40%50%50%60%60%70%70%80%80%90%90%100%100%Mar 2413%Mar 2413%Aug 311%Aug 311%Jan 18%Jan 18%Oct 157%Oct 157%May 317%May 317%rainsnow
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Kara-Bak experiences some seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.

Rain falls throughout the year in Kara-Bak. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around May 6, with an average total accumulation of 0.5 inches.

The least rain falls around August 22, with an average total accumulation of 0.1 inches.

Average Monthly Rainfall

Average Monthly Rainfall in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0.0 in0.0 in0.2 in0.2 in0.4 in0.4 in0.6 in0.6 in0.8 in0.8 in1.0 in1.0 in1.2 in1.2 inMay 60.5 inMay 60.5 inAug 220.1 inAug 220.1 inMar 290.5 inMar 290.5 inNov 30.4 inNov 30.4 inJan 190.2 inJan 190.2 in
The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average liquid-equivalent snowfall.

Snowfall

The sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent quantity of snowfall in Kara-Bak does not vary significantly over the course of the year, staying within 0.1 inches of 0.1 inches throughout.

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall

Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall in Kara-BaksnowJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0.0 in0.0 in0.1 in0.1 in0.2 in0.2 in0.3 in0.3 in0.4 in0.4 in0.5 in0.5 inJan 270.1 inJan 270.1 inJul 140.0 inJul 140.0 inNowNow
The average liquid-equivalent snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Sun

The length of the day in Kara-Bak varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2021, the shortest day is December 21, with 9 hours, 19 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 15 hours, 2 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hr12 hr, 8 minMar 2012 hr, 8 minMar 2015 hr, 2 minJun 2115 hr, 2 minJun 2112 hr, 10 minSep 2312 hr, 10 minSep 239 hr, 19 minDec 219 hr, 19 minDec 21nightnightdayNowNow
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise is at 5:46 AM on June 14, and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 53 minutes later at 8:39 AM on January 4. The earliest sunset is at 5:50 PM on December 8, and the latest sunset is 2 hours, 59 minutes later at 8:50 PM on June 27.

Daylight saving time (DST) is not observed in Kara-Bak during 2021.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMJun 145:46 AMJun 145:46 AM8:50 PMJun 278:50 PMJun 27Dec 85:50 PMDec 85:50 PM8:39 AMJan 48:39 AMJan 4daynightnightnightnightSolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunsetNowNow
The solar day over the course of the year 2021. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray.

Moon

The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for 2021. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases.

Moon Rise, Set & Phases

The time in which the moon is above the horizon (light blue area), with new moons (dark gray lines) and full moons (blue lines) indicated. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Humidity

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The perceived humidity level in Kara-Bak, as measured by the percentage of time in which the humidity comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable, does not vary significantly over the course of the year, remaining a virtually constant 0% throughout.

Humidity Comfort Levels

Humidity Comfort Levels in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%0%10%10%20%20%30%30%40%40%50%50%60%60%70%70%80%80%90%90%100%100%Nov 80%Nov 80%Jul 230%Jul 230%drydrycomfortablecomfortable
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point.

Wind

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Kara-Bak experiences mild seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The windier part of the year lasts for 5.6 months, from April 6 to September 25, with average wind speeds of more than 6.3 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is July 24, with an average hourly wind speed of 7.7 miles per hour.

The calmer time of year lasts for 6.4 months, from September 25 to April 6. The calmest day of the year is December 1, with an average hourly wind speed of 4.8 miles per hour.

Average Wind Speed

Average Wind Speed in Kara-BakwindyJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 mph0 mph2 mph2 mph4 mph4 mph6 mph6 mph8 mph8 mph10 mph10 mph12 mph12 mphJul 247.7 mphJul 247.7 mphDec 14.8 mphDec 14.8 mphApr 66.3 mphApr 66.3 mphSep 256.3 mphSep 256.3 mphNowNow
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The predominant average hourly wind direction in Kara-Bak varies throughout the year.

The wind is most often from the west for 10 months, from January 30 to December 1, with a peak percentage of 60% on July 24. The wind is most often from the south for 1.9 months, from December 1 to January 30, with a peak percentage of 42% on January 1.

Wind Direction

Wind Direction in Kara-BakSWSJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%NowNowwestsouthnortheast
northeastsouthwest
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions, excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1.0 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Best Time of Year to Visit

To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Kara-Bak throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.

The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Kara-Bak for general outdoor tourist activities is from early June to late September, with a peak score in the last week of August.

Tourism Score

Tourism Score in Kara-Bakbest timeJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec002244668810108.58.50.00.0NowNowprecipitationprecipitationcloudscloudstemperaturetemperature tourism score
The tourism score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Kara-Bak for hot-weather activities is from late June to mid August, with a peak score in the third week of July.

Beach/Pool Score

Beach/Pool Score in Kara-Bakbest timeJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec002244668810108.38.30.00.0NowNowprecipitationprecipitationcloudscloudstemperaturetemperature beach/pool score
The beach/pool score (filled area), and its constituents: the temperature score (red line), the cloud cover score (blue line), and the precipitation score (green line).

Methodology

For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.

Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.

Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.

Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.

Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.

Growing Season

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

The growing season in Kara-Bak typically lasts for 7.7 months (237 days), from around March 19 to around November 11, rarely starting before February 26 or after April 10, and rarely ending before October 18 or after November 29.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in Kara-Bakgrowing seasonJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%50%Mar 1950%Mar 1950%Nov 1150%Nov 1190%Apr 1090%Apr 1090%Oct 1890%Oct 1810%Feb 2610%Feb 2610%Nov 2910%Nov 290%Dec 250%Dec 25Jul 18100%Jul 18100%NowNowfreezingvery coldcomfortablewarmcoolcoldfrigid
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Kara-Bak should appear around April 3, only rarely appearing before March 25 or after April 13.

Growing Degree Days

Growing Degree Days in Kara-BakJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0°F0°F500°F500°F1,000°F1,000°F1,500°F1,500°F2,000°F2,000°F2,500°F2,500°F3,000°F3,000°F3,500°F3,500°F4,000°F4,000°FApr 389°FApr 389°FJun 1900°FJun 1900°FJul 71,800°FJul 71,800°FDec 314,054°FDec 314,054°FNowNow
The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the year, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Solar Energy

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.

The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.2 months, from May 22 to August 29, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 6.9 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 2, with an average of 8.1 kWh.

The darker period of the year lasts for 3.6 months, from November 1 to February 18, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 3.3 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 15, with an average of 2.1 kWh.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in Kara-BakbrightdarkdarkJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec0 kWh0 kWh1 kWh1 kWh2 kWh2 kWh3 kWh3 kWh4 kWh4 kWh5 kWh5 kWh6 kWh6 kWh7 kWh7 kWh8 kWh8 kWh9 kWh9 kWh10 kWh10 kWhJul 28.1 kWhJul 28.1 kWhDec 152.1 kWhDec 152.1 kWhMay 226.9 kWhMay 226.9 kWhAug 296.9 kWhAug 296.9 kWhNov 13.3 kWhNov 13.3 kWhFeb 183.3 kWhFeb 183.3 kWhNowNow
The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Topography

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Kara-Bak are 40.162 deg latitude, 70.820 deg longitude, and 2,690 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Kara-Bak contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 269 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 2,711 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (3,556 feet). Within 50 miles also contains extreme variations in elevation (17,320 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Kara-Bak is covered by cropland (95%), within 10 miles by bare soil (79%) and cropland (18%), and within 50 miles by bare soil (57%) and cropland (20%).

Data Sources

This report illustrates the typical weather in Kara-Bak, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There are 2 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Kara-Bak.

For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Kara-Bak according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

The estimated value at Kara-Bak is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Kara-Bak and a given station.

The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Fergana International Airport (57%, 82 kilometers, east) and Khudjand International Airport (43%, 96 kilometers, west).

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.

Disclaimer

The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.

We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.

We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.