Average Weather in Waconia Minnesota, United States
In Waconia, the summers are long, warm, and wet; the winters are freezing, snowy, and windy; and it is partly cloudy year round. Over the course of the year, the temperature typically varies from 8°F to 83°F and is rarely below -13°F or above 91°F.
Based on the tourism score, the best time of year to visit Waconia for warm-weather activities is from mid June to early September.
The warm season lasts for 3.9 months, from May 21 to September 19, with an average daily high temperature above 71°F. The hottest day of the year is July 18, with an average high of 83°F and low of 64°F.
The cold season lasts for 3.3 months, from November 26 to March 4, with an average daily high temperature below 35°F. The coldest day of the year is January 21, with an average low of 8°F and high of 23°F.
Average High and Low Temperature
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the entire year of hourly average temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day of the year, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature
In Waconia, the average percentage of the sky covered by clouds experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The clearer part of the year in Waconia begins around June 10 and lasts for 4.2 months, ending around October 16. On July 28, the clearest day of the year, the sky is clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 72% of the time, and overcast or mostly cloudy 28% of the time.
The cloudier part of the year begins around October 16 and lasts for 7.8 months, ending around June 10. On February 5, the cloudiest day of the year, the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy 60% of the time, and clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy 40% of the time.
Cloud Cover Categories
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. The chance of wet days in Waconia varies significantly throughout the year.
The wetter season lasts 5.6 months, from April 10 to September 30, with a greater than 24% chance of a given day being a wet day. The chance of a wet day peaks at 41% on June 13.
The drier season lasts 6.4 months, from September 30 to April 10. The smallest chance of a wet day is 7% on February 3.
Among wet days, we distinguish between those that experience rain alone, snow alone, or a mixture of the two. Based on this categorization, the most common form of precipitation in Waconia changes throughout the year.
Rain alone is the most common for 8.8 months, from March 4 to November 26. The highest chance of a day with rain alone is 41% on June 13.
Snow alone is the most common for 3.2 months, from November 26 to March 4. The highest chance of a day with snow alone is 8% on December 29.
Daily Chance of Precipitation
To show variation within the months and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Waconia experiences extreme seasonal variation in monthly rainfall.
The rainy period of the year lasts for 9.0 months, from March 3 to December 1, with a sliding 31-day rainfall of at least 0.5 inches. The most rain falls during the 31 days centered around June 18, with an average total accumulation of 4.2 inches.
The rainless period of the year lasts for 3.0 months, from December 1 to March 3. The least rain falls around January 26, with an average total accumulation of 0.1 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. Colder, drier snow tends to be on the higher end of that range and warmer, wetter snow on the lower end.
As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day of the year. Waconia experiences some seasonal variation in monthly liquid-equivalent snowfall.
The snowy period of the year lasts for 5.5 months, from October 27 to April 12, with a sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall of at least 0.1 inches. The most snow falls during the 31 days centered around December 9, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.4 inches.
The snowless period of the year lasts for 6.5 months, from April 12 to October 27. The least snow falls around July 22, with an average total liquid-equivalent accumulation of 0.0 inches.
Average Liquid-Equivalent Monthly Snowfall
The length of the day in Waconia varies significantly over the course of the year. In 2018, the shortest day is December 21, with 8 hours, 47 minutes of daylight; the longest day is June 21, with 15 hours, 36 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight
The earliest sunrise is at 5:28 AM on June 15, and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 28 minutes later at 7:56 AM on November 3. The earliest sunset is at 4:33 PM on December 10, and the latest sunset is 4 hours, 31 minutes later at 9:05 PM on June 26.
Daylight saving time (DST) is observed in Waconia during 2018, starting in the spring on March 11, lasting 7.8 months, and ending in the fall on November 4.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time
Waconia experiences significant seasonal variation in the perceived humidity.
The muggier period of the year lasts for 3.2 months, from June 9 to September 14, during which time the comfort level is muggy, oppressive, or miserable at least 9% of the time. The muggiest day of the year is July 21, with muggy conditions 35% of the time.
The least muggy day of the year is December 9, when muggy conditions are essentially unheard of.
Humidity Comfort Levels
The average hourly wind speed in Waconia experiences significant seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The windier part of the year lasts for 8.3 months, from September 19 to May 28, with average wind speeds of more than 10.3 miles per hour. The windiest day of the year is April 2, with an average hourly wind speed of 12.3 miles per hour.
The calmer time of year lasts for 3.7 months, from May 28 to September 19. The calmest day of the year is August 2, with an average hourly wind speed of 8.3 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed
The predominant average hourly wind direction in Waconia varies throughout the year.
The wind is most often from the north for 3.4 months, from January 24 to May 6, with a peak percentage of 34% on April 2. The wind is most often from the south for 6.5 months, from May 6 to November 22, with a peak percentage of 42% on September 3. The wind is most often from the west for 2.1 months, from November 22 to January 24, with a peak percentage of 34% on January 1.
Best Time of Year to Visit
To characterize how pleasant the weather is in Waconia throughout the year, we compute two travel scores.
The tourism score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 65°F and 80°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Waconia for general outdoor tourist activities is from mid June to early September, with a peak score in the first week of August.
The beach/pool score favors clear, rainless days with perceived temperatures between 75°F and 90°F. Based on this score, the best time of year to visit Waconia for hot-weather activities is from early July to early August, with a peak score in the third week of July.
For each hour between 8:00 AM and 9:00 PM of each day in the analysis period (1980 to 2016), independent scores are computed for perceived temperature, cloud cover, and total precipitation. Those scores are combined into a single hourly composite score, which is then aggregated into days, averaged over all the years in the analysis period, and smoothed.
Our cloud cover score is 10 for fully clear skies, falling linearly to 9 for mostly clear skies, and to 1 for fully overcast skies.
Our precipitation score, which is based on the three-hour precipitation centered on the hour in question, is 10 for no precipitation, falling linearly to 9 for trace precipitation, and to 0 for 0.04 inches of precipitation or more.
Our tourism temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 50°F, rising linearly to 9 for 65°F, to 10 for 75°F, falling linearly to 9 for 80°F, and to 1 for 90°F or hotter.
Our beach/pool temperature score is 0 for perceived temperatures below 65°F, rising linearly to 9 for 75°F, to 10 for 82°F, falling linearly to 9 for 90°F, and to 1 for 100°F or hotter.
The growing season in Waconia typically lasts for 5.5 months (167 days), from around April 24 to around October 8, rarely starting before April 7 or after May 12, and rarely ending before September 21 or after October 26.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season
Based on growing degree days alone, the first spring blooms in Waconia should appear around April 24, only rarely appearing before April 12 or after May 9.
Growing Degree Days
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy experiences extreme seasonal variation over the course of the year.
The brighter period of the year lasts for 3.5 months, from May 5 to August 20, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter above 5.9 kWh. The brightest day of the year is July 10, with an average of 7.0 kWh.
The darker period of the year lasts for 3.4 months, from October 29 to February 11, with an average daily incident shortwave energy per square meter below 2.6 kWh. The darkest day of the year is December 17, with an average of 1.5 kWh.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Waconia are 44.851 deg latitude, -93.787 deg longitude, and 971 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Waconia contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 141 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 974 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (371 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (817 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Waconia is covered by water (39%), cropland (35%), and artificial surfaces (22%), within 10 miles by cropland (78%), and within 50 miles by cropland (73%) and artificial surfaces (11%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Waconia, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Waconia.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Waconia according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Waconia is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Waconia and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Flying Cloud Airport (39%, 25 kilometers, east); Glencoe Municipal Airport (38%, 26 kilometers, southwest); and Buffalo Municipal Airport (24%, 35 kilometers, north).
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .