Average Weather on July 16 in Toluca Illinois, United States
On July 16, the temperature in Toluca typically ranges from 66°F to 83°F and is rarely below 57°F or above 91°F.
For reference, on July 20, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Toluca typically range from 66°F to 84°F, while on January 29, the coldest day of the year, they range from 18°F to 32°F.
The coolest time of the day is from 11:30 PM to 7:30 AM, with the coldest at 5:30 AM, at which time the temperature is below 70°F three days out of four, and below 74°F nine days out of ten.
The warmest time of the day is from 11:45 AM to 7:30 PM, with the hottest at 4:15 PM, at which time the temperature is above 79°F three days out of four, and above 74°F nine days out of ten.
The day has gained half its heat by 9:30 AM and lost it again by 9:00 PM.
Average Temperature on July 16
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the range of temperatures experienced on July 16 throughout the historical record. The horizontal axis is the time of day and the colored stacked areas indicate the percentage of hours spent in various temperature bands.
Temperature Bands on July 16
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The average percentage of the sky covered by clouds in Toluca on July 16 varies over the course of the day.
The cloudiest time of day is around 12:30 AM, at which time the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 38%.
The clearest time of day is around 1:30 PM, at which time the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions is 68%.
For reference, on December 29, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 57%, while on August 26, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 69%.
Cloud Cover Categories on July 16
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
On average, there is a 34% chance that more than 0.04 inches of total precipitation will fall in Toluca throughout the day on July 16, all of which can be expected to be rain.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of precipitation is 38% on June 7, and its lowest chance is 13% on January 29.
For those 34% of years with precipitation on July 16, the chart below shows when throughout the day that precipitation is more or less likely to occur, excluding hourly accumulations of less than 0.01 inches. If precipitation were equally likely throughout the day, all hours would report 4.2% (100% divided by 24 hours).
Precipitation is most likely between 1 PM and 2 PM, and least likely between 6 AM and 7 AM.
Hourly Share of Precipitation on July 16
In Toluca on Tuesday, July 16, 2019, the Sun rises at 5:37 AM and sets 14 hours, 49 minutes later, at 8:26 PM. Solar noon is at 1:02 PM.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:24 AM and sets 15 hours, 8 minutes later, at 8:32 PM, while on December 22, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 7:18 AM and sets 9 hours, 13 minutes later, at 4:31 PM.
Civil twilight, the period before the Sun has risen or after the Sun has set during which time it is possible to engage in most outdoor activities without artificial lighting, begins and ends 32 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, at 5:05 AM and 8:59 PM respectively.
Nautical twilight, during which time it is possible to clearly discern the horizon (e.g., for navigational purposes), begins and ends 1 hour, 13 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, at 4:24 AM and 9:40 PM respectively.
Astronomical twilight, outside of which it is possible to make the most sensitive of astronomical observations, begins and ends 2 hours, 0 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, at 3:37 AM and 10:26 PM respectively.
Solar Elevation on July 16, 2019
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance of muggy, oppressive, or miserable conditions in Toluca on July 16 varies over the course of the day, with an average daily chance of 54%.
The muggiest time of day on July 16 is around 8:30 PM, with muggy conditions 63% of the time.
The least muggy time of day is around 5:30 AM, with muggy conditions 44% of the time.
For reference, on July 22, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 57% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels on July 16
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Toluca on July 16 varies throughout the day, with a daily average of 7.9 miles per hour.
The windiest time of day is around 2:30 PM, with an average hourly wind speed of 9.5 miles per hour, mostly staying between 6.6 miles per hour and 12.2 miles per hour, and rarely falling below 4.1 miles per hour or exceeding 15.1 miles per hour.
The calmest time of day is around 7:45 PM, with an average hourly wind speed of 6.2 miles per hour, mostly staying between 4.5 miles per hour and 7.6 miles per hour, and rarely falling below 3.2 miles per hour or exceeding 10.3 miles per hour.
For reference, on March 23, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.7 miles per hour, while on August 3, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 7.5 miles per hour.
Wind Speed on July 16
Over the entire course of July 16 in Toluca, the hourly average wind direction, in order of prevalence, is from the south (34%), west (29%), north (19%), and east (18%).
Wind Direction on July 16
Shortwave Solar Power
This section discusses the incident shortwave solar power reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The peak incident shortwave solar power per square meter is 0.81 kilowatts at around 12:45 PM.
In contrast, the corresponding value on July 1, the brightest day of the year, is 0.81 kilowatts at around 11:45 AM. The corresponding value on December 17, the darkest day of the year, is 0.33 kilowatts at around 10:45 AM.
Shortwave Solar Power on July 16
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Toluca are 41.002 deg latitude, -89.133 deg longitude, and 696 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Toluca is essentially flat, with a maximum elevation change of 85 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 693 feet. Within 10 miles is essentially flat (302 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (627 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Toluca is covered by cropland (98%), within 10 miles by cropland (97%), and within 50 miles by cropland (90%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Toluca, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 4 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Toluca.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Toluca according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Toluca is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Toluca and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Marshall County Airport (51%, 21 kilometers, west); Illinois Valley Regional Airport-Walter A Duncan Field (21%, 39 kilometers, north); Pontiac, Pontiac Municipal Airport (18%, 44 kilometers, east); and Central Illinois Regional Airport at Bloomington-Normal (11%, 60 kilometers, south).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.