Fall Weather in Sofia BulgariaDaily high temperatures decrease by 35°F, from 78°F to 44°F, rarely falling below 31°F or exceeding 89°F. Daily low temperatures decrease by 25°F, from 54°F to 29°F, rarely falling below 18°F or exceeding 60°F. For reference, on August 4, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Sofia typically range from 58°F to 83°F, while on January 19, the coldest day of the year, they range from 22°F to 37°F. The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average fall temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day. Parsons, West Virginia, United States (5,021 miles away) is the far-away foreign place with temperatures most similar to Sofia (view comparison). CloudsThe fall in Sofia experiences very rapidly increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 22% to 52%. The highest chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 53% on November 29. The clearest day of the fall is September 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 78% of the time. For reference, on November 29, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 53%, while on July 20, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 88%. PrecipitationA wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Sofia, the chance of a wet day over the course of the fall is essentially constant, remaining around 18% throughout. For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 34% on June 2, and its lowest chance is 14% on October 29. Over the course of the fall in Sofia, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 17% to 12%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 0% to 3%, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 3%. RainfallTo show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day. The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the fall in Sofia is gradually decreasing, starting the season at 1.3 inches, when it rarely exceeds 2.4 inches or falls below 0.4 inches, and ending the season at 0.9 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.9 inches or falls below 0.2 inches. SnowfallAs with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day. The average sliding 31-day snowfall during the fall in Sofia is increasing, starting the season at -0.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.0 inches or falls below -0.0 inches, and ending the season at 2.7 inches, when it rarely exceeds 7.0 inches. SunOver the course of the fall in Sofia, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day decreases by 3 hours, 51 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 2 minutes, 34 seconds, and weekly decrease of 17 minutes, 58 seconds. The shortest day of the fall is November 30, with 9 hours, 18 minutes of daylight and the longest day is September 1, with 13 hours, 9 minutes of daylight. The earliest sunrise of the fall in Sofia is 6:51 AM on September 1 and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 2 minutes later at 7:53 AM on October 26. The latest sunset is 8:00 PM on September 1 and the earliest sunset is 3 hours, 6 minutes earlier at 4:54 PM on November 30. Daylight saving time (DST) starts at 3:00 AM on October 27, 2024, shifting sunrise and sunset to be an hour later. For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:48 AM and sets 15 hours, 20 minutes later, at 9:08 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 7:53 AM and sets 9 hours, 2 minutes later, at 4:56 PM. The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation. MoonThe figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the fall of 2024. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon. HumidityWe base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night. The chance that a given day will be muggy in Sofia is essentially constant during the fall, remaining around 0% throughout. For reference, on July 29, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 2% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time. WindThis section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages. The average hourly wind speed in Sofia is increasing during the fall, increasing from 5.3 miles per hour to 6.3 miles per hour over the course of the season. For reference, on February 21, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 7.0 miles per hour, while on August 11, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 5.1 miles per hour. The wind direction in Sofia during the fall is predominantly out of the north from September 1 to September 30, the south from September 30 to November 29, and the west from November 29 to November 30. Growing SeasonDefinitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere). The growing season in Sofia typically lasts for 6.1 months (185 days), from around April 17 to around October 19, rarely starting before March 30 or after May 3, and rarely ending before October 2 or after November 6. During the fall in Sofia, the chance that a given day is within the growing season is very rapidly decreasing falling from 100% to 0% over the course of the season. Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F. The average accumulated growing degree days in Sofia are rapidly increasing during the fall, increasing by 544°F, from 2,174°F to 2,718°F, over the course of the season. Solar EnergyThis section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation. The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Sofia is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling by 3.9 kWh, from 5.8 kWh to 1.9 kWh, over the course of the season. TopographyFor the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Sofia are 42.698 deg latitude, 23.324 deg longitude, and 1,844 ft elevation. The topography within 2 miles of Sofia contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 322 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,818 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (5,830 feet). Within 50 miles also contains extreme variations in elevation (9,177 feet). The area within 2 miles of Sofia is covered by artificial surfaces (99%), within 10 miles by cropland (44%) and artificial surfaces (32%), and within 50 miles by trees (54%) and cropland (28%). Data SourcesThis report illustrates the typical weather in Sofia, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016. Temperature and Dew PointThere are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Sofia. For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Sofia according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations. The estimated value at Sofia is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Sofia and a given station. The stations contributing to this reconstruction are:
To get a sense of how much these sources agree with each other, you can view a comparison of Sofia and the stations that contribute to our estimates of its temperature history and climate. Please note that each source's contribution is adjusted for elevation and the relative change present in the MERRA-2 data. Other DataAll data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus. All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid. Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database . Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com . Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors. DisclaimerThe information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site. We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands. We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader. Please review our full terms contained on our Terms of Service page. |