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Fall Weather in Grand Forks Canada

Daily high temperatures decrease by 45°F, from 80°F to 35°F, rarely falling below 24°F or exceeding 90°F.

Daily low temperatures decrease by 25°F, from 51°F to 26°F, rarely falling below 14°F or exceeding 58°F.

For reference, on August 3, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Grand Forks typically range from 57°F to 88°F, while on December 31, the coldest day of the year, they range from 21°F to 30°F.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average High and Low Temperature in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0°F0°F10°F10°F20°F20°F30°F30°F40°F40°F50°F50°F60°F60°F70°F70°F80°F80°F90°F90°F100°F100°FSummerWinterSep 180°FSep 180°F51°F51°FNov 3035°FNov 3035°F26°F26°FOct 165°FOct 165°F42°F42°FNov 147°FNov 147°F34°F34°F
The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average fall temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average Hourly Temperature in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinterfreezingvery coldcoldcoolcomfortablewarmhot
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Zvolen, Slovakia (5,241 miles away) and Apriltsi, Bulgaria (5,718 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Grand Forks (view comparison).

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The fall in Grand Forks experiences very rapidly increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 36% to 71%.

The clearest day of the fall is September 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 64% of the time.

For reference, on January 10, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 74%, while on August 2, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 75%.

Cloud Cover Categories in the Fall in Grand Forks

Cloud Cover Categories in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%SummerWinterSep 164%Sep 164%Nov 3029%Nov 3029%Oct 155%Oct 155%Nov 136%Nov 136%clearmostly clearpartly cloudyovercastmostly cloudy
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds.

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Grand Forks, the chance of a wet day over the course of the fall is very rapidly increasing, starting the season at 11% and ending it at 32%.

For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 34% on November 20, and its lowest chance is 10% on August 23.

Over the course of the fall in Grand Forks, the chance of a day with only rain increases from 11% to 17%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 0% to 7%, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 8%.

Probability of Precipitation in the Fall in Grand Forks

Probability of Precipitation in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0%0%5%5%10%10%15%15%20%20%25%25%30%30%35%35%SummerWinterNov 2034%Nov 2034%Sep 111%Sep 111%Oct 116%Oct 116%Nov 130%Nov 130%snowmixedrain
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the fall in Grand Forks is increasing, starting the season at 0.6 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.5 inches or falls below 0.1 inches, and ending the season at 1.2 inches, when it rarely exceeds 2.6 inches or falls below 0.2 inches.

The highest average 31-day accumulation is 1.5 inches on November 12.

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0 in0 in1 in1 in2 in2 in3 in3 in4 in4 in5 in5 in6 in6 in7 in7 in8 in8 inSummerWinterNov 121.5 inNov 121.5 inSep 10.6 inSep 10.6 inNov 301.2 inNov 301.2 inOct 10.8 inOct 10.8 in
The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average snowfall.

Snowfall

As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day snowfall during the fall in Grand Forks is very rapidly increasing, starting the season at 0.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.0 inches, and ending the season at 5.2 inches, when it rarely exceeds 13.0 inches or falls below 0.7 inches.

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0 in0 in2 in2 in4 in4 in6 in6 in8 in8 in10 in10 in12 in12 in14 in14 in16 in16 inSummerWinterSep 10.0 inSep 10.0 inNov 305.2 inNov 305.2 inOct 10.0 inOct 10.0 inNov 11.3 inNov 11.3 in
The average snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Over the course of the fall in Grand Forks, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day decreases by 4 hours, 51 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 3 minutes, 14 seconds, and weekly decrease of 22 minutes, 37 seconds.

The shortest day of the fall is November 30, with 8 hours, 33 minutes of daylight and the longest day is September 1, with 13 hours, 24 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Fall in Grand Forks

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hrSummerWinterSep 2212 hr, 13 minSep 2212 hr, 13 minnightnightdaydayNov 308 hr, 33 minNov 308 hr, 33 minNov 19 hr, 50 minNov 19 hr, 50 min
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise of the fall in Grand Forks is 6:11 AM on September 1 and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 33 minutes later at 7:43 AM on November 2.

The latest sunset is 7:34 PM on September 1 and the earliest sunset is 3 hours, 36 minutes earlier at 3:58 PM on November 30.

Daylight saving time (DST) starts at 1:00 AM on November 3, 2024, shifting sunrise and sunset to be an hour later.

For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 4:49 AM and sets 16 hours, 13 minutes later, at 9:01 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 7:45 AM and sets 8 hours, 13 minutes later, at 3:58 PM.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in the Fall in Grand Forks

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov12 AM2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMSummerWinter6:11 AM6:11 AMSep 17:34 PMSep 17:34 PM7:26 AM7:26 AMNov 303:58 PMNov 303:58 PM7:43 AM7:43 AMNov 25:30 PMNov 25:30 PM6:54 AM6:54 AMOct 16:31 PMOct 16:31 PMDSTNov 3DSTNov 3SolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunset
The solar day in the fall. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray. The transitions to and from daylight saving time are indicated by the 'DST' labels.

The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation.

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Fall in Grand Forks

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinter01020300010203040
northeastsouthwest
Solar elevation and azimuth in the the fall of 2024. The black lines are lines of constant solar elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon, in degrees). The background color fills indicate the azimuth (the compass bearing) of the sun. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries of the cardinal compass points indicate the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the fall of 2024. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon.

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Fall in Grand Forks

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov12 AM12 AM4 AM4 AM8 AM8 AM12 PM12 PM4 PM4 PM8 PM8 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinterAug 44:14 AMAug 44:14 AMAug 1911:26 AMAug 1911:26 AMSep 26:56 PMSep 26:56 PMSep 177:35 PMSep 177:35 PMOct 211:50 AMOct 211:50 AMOct 174:27 AMOct 174:27 AMNov 15:48 AMNov 15:48 AMNov 151:29 PMNov 151:29 PMNov 3010:22 PMNov 3010:22 PMDec 151:02 AMDec 151:02 AMDec 302:28 PMDec 302:28 PM9:03 PM9:03 PM8:02 PM8:02 PM5:25 AM5:25 AM7:41 PM7:41 PM7:01 PM7:01 PM7:17 AM7:17 AM6:48 AM6:48 AM6:25 PM6:25 PM5:36 PM5:36 PM7:39 AM7:39 AM8:04 AM8:04 AM5:17 PM5:17 PM3:43 PM3:43 PM7:16 AM7:16 AM3:10 PM3:10 PM8:17 AM8:17 AM3:29 PM3:29 PM
The time in which the moon is above the horizon (light blue area), with new moons (dark gray lines) and full moons (blue lines) indicated. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The chance that a given day will be muggy in Grand Forks is essentially constant during the fall, remaining around 0% throughout.

For reference, on August 9, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Fall in Grand Forks

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0%0%10%10%20%20%30%30%40%40%50%50%60%60%70%70%80%80%90%90%100%100%SummerWinterSep 10%Sep 10%Nov 300%Nov 300%Oct 10%Oct 10%Nov 10%Nov 10%drydrycomfortablecomfortable
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point.

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Grand Forks is essentially constant during the fall, remaining within 0.1 miles per hour of 3.5 miles per hour throughout.

For reference, on April 17, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 3.8 miles per hour, while on January 28, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 3.3 miles per hour.

The highest daily average wind speed during the fall is 3.6 miles per hour on September 16.

Average Wind Speed in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average Wind Speed in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0 mph0 mph1 mph1 mph2 mph2 mph3 mph3 mph4 mph4 mph5 mph5 mphSummerWinterSep 163.6 mphSep 163.6 mphSep 13.5 mphSep 13.5 mphNov 303.5 mphNov 303.5 mphOct 13.6 mphOct 13.6 mphNov 13.4 mphNov 13.4 mph
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The wind direction in Grand Forks during the fall is predominantly out of the west from September 1 to October 2, the south from October 2 to November 25, and the east from November 25 to November 30.

Wind Direction in the Fall in Grand Forks

Wind Direction in the Fall in Grand ForksWSESepOctNov0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%SummerWinterwestsoutheastnorth
northeastsouthwest
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions, excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1.0 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

The growing season in Grand Forks typically lasts for 5.5 months (166 days), from around April 25 to around October 9, rarely starting before April 1 or after May 17, and rarely ending before September 20 or after October 28.

During the fall in Grand Forks, the chance that a given day is within the growing season is very rapidly decreasing falling from 100% to -0% over the course of the season.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Fall in Grand Forks

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Fall in Grand Forksgrowing seasonSepOctNov0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%SummerWinter100%Sep 1100%Sep 1Nov 30-0%Nov 30-0%69%Oct 169%Oct 1Nov 17%Nov 17%frigidfreezingvery coldcoldcoolcomfortablewarmhot
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

The average accumulated growing degree days in Grand Forks are increasing during the fall, increasing by 349°F, from 1,831°F to 2,180°F, over the course of the season.

Growing Degree Days in the Fall in Grand Forks

Growing Degree Days in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov1,700°F1,700°F1,800°F1,800°F1,900°F1,900°F2,000°F2,000°F2,100°F2,100°F2,200°F2,200°F2,300°F2,300°F2,400°F2,400°FSummerWinterSep 11,831°FSep 11,831°FNov 302,180°FNov 302,180°FOct 12,111°FOct 12,111°FNov 12,176°FNov 12,176°F
The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the fall, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Grand Forks is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling by 4.3 kWh, from 5.4 kWh to 1.1 kWh, over the course of the season.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Fall in Grand Forks

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Fall in Grand ForksSepOctNov0 kWh0 kWh1 kWh1 kWh2 kWh2 kWh3 kWh3 kWh4 kWh4 kWh5 kWh5 kWh6 kWh6 kWh7 kWh7 kWh8 kWh8 kWhSummerWinterSep 15.4 kWhSep 15.4 kWhNov 301.1 kWhNov 301.1 kWhOct 13.6 kWhOct 13.6 kWhNov 11.8 kWhNov 11.8 kWh
The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Grand Forks are 49.033 deg latitude, -118.436 deg longitude, and 1,690 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Grand Forks contains large variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 2,329 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 2,054 feet. Within 10 miles contains large variations in elevation (4,649 feet). Within 50 miles also contains extreme variations in elevation (7,352 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Grand Forks is covered by sparse vegetation (44%), shrubs (24%), and grassland (19%), within 10 miles by trees (70%) and shrubs (16%), and within 50 miles by trees (67%) and shrubs (18%).

This report illustrates the typical weather in Grand Forks, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There are 2 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Grand Forks.

For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Grand Forks according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

The estimated value at Grand Forks is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Grand Forks and a given station.

The stations contributing to this reconstruction are:

To get a sense of how much these sources agree with each other, you can view a comparison of Grand Forks and the stations that contribute to our estimates of its temperature history and climate. Please note that each source's contribution is adjusted for elevation and the relative change present in the MERRA-2 data.

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Disclaimer

The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.

We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.

We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.

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