Fall Weather in Estero Florida, United States
Daily high temperatures decrease by 12°F, from 90°F to 78°F, rarely falling below 71°F or exceeding 93°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 15°F, from 76°F to 61°F, rarely falling below 50°F or exceeding 78°F.
For reference, on August 8, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Estero typically range from 76°F to 90°F, while on January 18, the coldest day of the year, they range from 55°F to 74°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in the Fall in Estero
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average fall temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in the Fall in Estero
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The fall in Estero experiences very rapidly decreasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy decreasing from 68% to 36%. The lowest chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 35% on November 21.
The clearest day of the fall is November 21, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 65% of the time.
For reference, on August 28, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 70%, while on February 21, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 68%.
Cloud Cover Categories in the Fall in Estero
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Estero, the chance of a wet day over the course of the fall is very rapidly decreasing, starting the season at 68% and ending it at 15%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 74% on August 13, and its lowest chance is 13% on December 17.
Probability of Precipitation in the Fall in Estero
To show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the fall in Estero is very rapidly decreasing, starting the season at 6.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 9.4 inches or falls below 3.4 inches, and ending the season at 1.3 inches, when it rarely exceeds 3.5 inches or falls below 0.1 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in the Fall in Estero
Over the course of the fall in Estero, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day decreases by 2 hours, 3 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 1 minute, 22 seconds, and weekly decrease of 9 minutes, 34 seconds.
The shortest day of the fall is November 30, with 10 hours, 37 minutes of daylight and the longest day is September 1, with 12 hours, 40 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Fall in Estero
The latest sunrise of the fall in Estero is 7:38 AM on November 4 and the earliest sunrise is 59 minutes earlier at 6:38 AM on November 5.
The latest sunset is 7:47 PM on September 1 and the earliest sunset is 2 hours, 13 minutes earlier at 5:34 PM on November 30.
Daylight saving time (DST) ends at 1:00 AM on November 5, 2023, shifting sunrise and sunset to be an hour earlier.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 6:35 AM and sets 13 hours, 48 minutes later, at 8:23 PM, while on December 22, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 7:11 AM and sets 10 hours, 29 minutes later, at 5:40 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in the Fall in Estero
The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation.
Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Fall in Estero
The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the fall of 2023. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon.
Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Fall in Estero
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Estero is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling from 100% to 34% over the course of the season.
For reference, on August 12, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 100% of the time, while on January 30, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 16% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in the Fall in Estero
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Estero is rapidly increasing during the fall, increasing from 6.7 miles per hour to 9.5 miles per hour over the course of the season.
For reference, on March 14, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 9.8 miles per hour, while on August 4, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 5.8 miles per hour.
The highest daily average wind speed during the fall is 9.8 miles per hour on November 8.
Average Wind Speed in the Fall in Estero
The hourly average wind direction in Estero throughout the fall is predominantly from the east, with a peak proportion of 53% on September 10.
Wind Direction in the Fall in Estero
Estero is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Estero is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling by 12°F, from 86°F to 74°F, over the course of the season.
Average Water Temperature in the Fall in Estero
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
Temperatures in Estero are sufficiently warm year round that it is not entirely meaningful to discuss the growing season in these terms. We nevertheless include the chart below as an illustration of the distribution of temperatures experienced throughout the year.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Fall in Estero
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Estero are very rapidly increasing during the fall, increasing by 2,304°F, from 5,803°F to 8,107°F, over the course of the season.
Growing Degree Days in the Fall in Estero
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Estero is gradually decreasing during the fall, falling by 0.5 kWh, from 4.4 kWh to 3.9 kWh, over the course of the season.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Fall in Estero
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Estero are 26.438 deg latitude, -81.807 deg longitude, and 13 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Estero is essentially flat, with a maximum elevation change of 10 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 11 feet. Within 10 miles is also essentially flat (26 feet). Within 50 miles is essentially flat (98 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Estero is covered by artificial surfaces (96%), within 10 miles by artificial surfaces (48%) and herbaceous vegetation (25%), and within 50 miles by water (40%) and herbaceous vegetation (25%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Estero, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 2 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Estero.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Estero according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Estero is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Estero and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are:
To get a sense of how much these sources agree with each other, you can view a comparison of Estero and the stations that contribute to our estimates of its temperature history and climate. Please note that each source's contribution is adjusted for elevation and the relative change present in the MERRA-2 data.
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
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