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Winter Weather in Shikotan Russia

Daily high temperatures decrease by 10°F, from 39°F to 29°F, rarely falling below 22°F or exceeding 45°F. The lowest daily average high temperature is 28°F on February 13.

Daily low temperatures decrease by 10°F, from 35°F to 25°F, rarely falling below 18°F or exceeding 40°F. The lowest daily average low temperature is 24°F on February 14.

For reference, on August 22, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Shikotan typically range from 58°F to 61°F, while on February 14, the coldest day of the year, they range from 24°F to 28°F.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Winter in Shikotan

Average High and Low Temperature in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb10°F10°F15°F15°F20°F20°F25°F25°F30°F30°F35°F35°F40°F40°F45°F45°F50°F50°F55°F55°FFallSpringFeb 1328°FFeb 1328°F24°F24°FDec 139°FDec 139°F35°F35°FFeb 2829°FFeb 2829°F25°F25°FJan 132°FJan 132°F28°F28°FFeb 129°FFeb 129°F24°F24°F
The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average winter temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Hourly Temperature in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMFallSpringfreezingvery coldcoldvery cold
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Miquelon, St. Pierre & Miquelon (6,007 miles away) is the far-away foreign place with temperatures most similar to Shikotan (view comparison).

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The winter in Shikotan experiences gradually increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 49% to 54%. The highest chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 65% on January 12.

The clearest day of the winter is December 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 51% of the time.

For reference, on May 30, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 73%, while on October 23, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 62%.

Cloud Cover Categories in the Winter in Shikotan

Cloud Cover Categories in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%FallSpringOct 2362%Oct 2362%Dec 151%Dec 151%Feb 2846%Feb 2846%Jan 137%Jan 137%Feb 138%Feb 138%clearmostly clearpartly cloudymostly cloudyovercast
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds.

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Shikotan, the chance of a wet day over the course of the winter is gradually decreasing, starting the season at 29% and ending it at 26%.

For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 39% on September 3, and its lowest chance is 15% on February 9.

Over the course of the winter in Shikotan, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 27% to 4%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 1% to 8%, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 1% to 13%.

Probability of Precipitation in the Winter in Shikotan

Probability of Precipitation in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0%0%5%5%10%10%15%15%20%20%25%25%30%30%35%35%FallSpringFeb 915%Feb 915%Dec 129%Dec 129%Feb 2826%Feb 2826%Jan 118%Jan 118%snowmixedrain
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the winter in Shikotan is rapidly decreasing, starting the season at 2.5 inches, when it rarely exceeds 4.1 inches or falls below 1.1 inches, and ending the season at 0.7 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.6 inches or falls below 0.1 inches.

The lowest average 31-day accumulation is 0.4 inches on February 7.

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0 in0 in2 in2 in4 in4 in6 in6 in8 in8 in10 in10 in12 in12 inFallSpringFeb 70.4 inFeb 70.4 inDec 12.5 inDec 12.5 inFeb 280.7 inFeb 280.7 inJan 11.1 inJan 11.1 in
The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average snowfall.

Snowfall

As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day snowfall during the winter in Shikotan is very rapidly increasing, starting the season at 0.6 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.8 inches or falls below -0.0 inches, and ending the season at 11.5 inches, when it rarely exceeds 20.3 inches or falls below 3.5 inches.

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0 in0 in5 in5 in10 in10 in15 in15 in20 in20 inFallSpringDec 10.6 inDec 10.6 inFeb 2811.5 inFeb 2811.5 inJan 12.7 inJan 12.7 inFeb 15.8 inFeb 15.8 in
The average snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Over the course of the winter in Shikotan, the length of the day is rapidly increasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day increases by 1 hour, 58 minutes, implying an average daily increase of 1 minute, 20 seconds, and weekly increase of 9 minutes, 17 seconds.

The shortest day of the winter is December 21, with 8 hours, 55 minutes of daylight and the longest day is February 28, with 11 hours, 8 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Winter in Shikotan

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hrFallSpringDec 218 hr, 55 minDec 218 hr, 55 minnightnightdaydayFeb 2811 hr, 8 minFeb 2811 hr, 8 minFeb 19 hr, 53 minFeb 19 hr, 53 min
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The latest sunrise of the winter in Shikotan is 8:47 AM on January 3 and the earliest sunrise is 55 minutes earlier at 7:51 AM on February 28.

The earliest sunset is 5:35 PM on December 9 and the latest sunset is 1 hour, 24 minutes later at 7:00 PM on February 28.

Daylight saving time is not observed in Shikotan during 2024.

For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:30 AM and sets 15 hours, 28 minutes later, at 8:58 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:43 AM and sets 8 hours, 55 minutes later, at 5:38 PM.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in the Winter in Shikotan

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMFallSpring7:51 AM7:51 AMFeb 287:00 PMFeb 287:00 PM8:35 AM8:35 AMDec 95:35 PMDec 95:35 PM8:47 AM8:47 AMJan 35:48 PMJan 35:48 PM8:30 AM8:30 AMFeb 16:23 PMFeb 16:23 PMSolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunset
The solar day in the winter. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray.

The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation.

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Winter in Shikotan

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMFallSpring00102020300010102030
northeastsouthwest
Solar elevation and azimuth in the the winter of 2024. The black lines are lines of constant solar elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon, in degrees). The background color fills indicate the azimuth (the compass bearing) of the sun. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries of the cardinal compass points indicate the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the winter of 2024. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon.

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Winter in Shikotan

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb12 AM12 AM4 AM4 AM8 AM8 AM12 PM12 PM4 PM4 PM8 PM8 PM12 AM12 AMFallSpringNov 111:48 PMNov 111:48 PMNov 168:29 AMNov 168:29 AMDec 15:22 PMDec 15:22 PMDec 158:02 PMDec 158:02 PMDec 319:28 AMDec 319:28 AMJan 149:28 AMJan 149:28 AMJan 2911:37 PMJan 2911:37 PMFeb 1312:54 AMFeb 1312:54 AMFeb 2811:45 AMFeb 2811:45 AMMar 145:55 PMMar 145:55 PMMar 299:58 PMMar 299:58 PM5:37 PM5:37 PM4:59 PM4:59 PM8:27 AM8:27 AM8:29 AM8:29 AM5:04 PM5:04 PM4:56 PM4:56 PM9:47 AM9:47 AM9:20 AM9:20 AM5:36 PM5:36 PM9:15 AM9:15 AM8:38 AM8:38 AM5:43 PM5:43 PM6:07 PM6:07 PM8:42 AM8:42 AM8:01 AM8:01 AM7:15 PM7:15 PM7:15 PM7:15 PM7:42 AM7:42 AM7:25 PM7:25 PM
The time in which the moon is above the horizon (light blue area), with new moons (dark gray lines) and full moons (blue lines) indicated. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The chance that a given day will be muggy in Shikotan is essentially constant during the winter, remaining around 0% throughout.

For reference, on August 22, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 4% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Winter in Shikotan

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0%0%10%10%20%20%30%30%40%40%50%50%60%60%70%70%80%80%90%90%100%100%FallSpringDec 10%Dec 10%Feb 280%Feb 280%Jan 10%Jan 10%Feb 10%Feb 10%drydry
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point.

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Shikotan is decreasing during the winter, decreasing from 19.3 miles per hour to 17.6 miles per hour over the course of the season.

For reference, on December 27, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 20.1 miles per hour, while on July 22, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 10.2 miles per hour.

The highest daily average wind speed during the winter is 20.1 miles per hour on December 31.

Average Wind Speed in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Wind Speed in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0 mph0 mph5 mph5 mph10 mph10 mph15 mph15 mph20 mph20 mph25 mph25 mph30 mph30 mphFallSpringDec 3120.1 mphDec 3120.1 mphDec 119.3 mphDec 119.3 mphFeb 2817.6 mphFeb 2817.6 mphFeb 118.6 mphFeb 118.6 mph
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The wind direction in Shikotan during the winter is predominantly out of the west from December 1 to February 19 and from February 26 to February 28 and the north from February 19 to February 26.

Wind Direction in the Winter in Shikotan

Wind Direction in the Winter in ShikotanWNWDecJanFeb0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%FallSpringwestsouthnortheast
northeastsouthwest
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions, excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1.0 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Shikotan is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.

The average surface water temperature in Shikotan is rapidly decreasing during the winter, falling by 11°F, from 44°F to 33°F, over the course of the season.

Average Water Temperature in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Water Temperature in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb30°F30°F35°F35°F40°F40°F45°F45°F50°F50°F55°F55°FFallSpringDec 144°FDec 144°FFeb 2833°FFeb 2833°FJan 138°FJan 138°FFeb 134°FFeb 134°F
The daily average water temperature (purple line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

The growing season in Shikotan typically lasts for 7.4 months (226 days), from around April 18 to around November 30, rarely starting before April 1 or after May 5, and rarely ending before November 14 or after December 16.

The winter in Shikotan is more likely than not fully outside of the growing season, with the chance that a given day is in the growing season rapidly decreasing from 47% to -0% over the course of the season.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Winter in Shikotan

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%FallSpringDec 147%Dec 147%Feb 28-0%Feb 28-0%Jan 11%Jan 11%Feb 1-0%Feb 1-0%50%Nov 3050%Nov 3090%Nov 1490%Nov 14freezingvery coldcold
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

The average accumulated growing degree days in Shikotan are rapidly decreasing during the winter, decreasing by 736°F, from 736°F to 0°F, over the course of the season.

Growing Degree Days in the Winter in Shikotan

Growing Degree Days in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0°F0°F100°F100°F200°F200°F300°F300°F400°F400°F500°F500°F600°F600°F700°F700°F800°F800°F900°F900°FFallSpringDec 1736°FDec 1736°FFeb 280°FFeb 280°F
The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the winter, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Shikotan is increasing during the winter, rising by 1.4 kWh, from 1.4 kWh to 2.8 kWh, over the course of the season.

The lowest average daily incident shortwave solar energy during the winter is 1.1 kWh on December 27.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Winter in Shikotan

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Winter in ShikotanDecJanFeb0.0 kWh0.0 kWh0.5 kWh0.5 kWh1.0 kWh1.0 kWh1.5 kWh1.5 kWh2.0 kWh2.0 kWh2.5 kWh2.5 kWh3.0 kWh3.0 kWh3.5 kWh3.5 kWh4.0 kWh4.0 kWh4.5 kWh4.5 kWh5.0 kWh5.0 kWh5.5 kWh5.5 kWh6.0 kWh6.0 kWhFallSpringDec 271.1 kWhDec 271.1 kWhDec 11.4 kWhDec 11.4 kWhFeb 282.8 kWhFeb 282.8 kWhFeb 11.7 kWhFeb 11.7 kWh
The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Shikotan are 43.799 deg latitude, 146.722 deg longitude, and 115 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Shikotan contains significant variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 712 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 248 feet. Within 10 miles contains significant variations in elevation (1,398 feet). Within 50 miles contains very significant variations in elevation (5,771 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Shikotan is covered by trees (76%) and cropland (17%), within 10 miles by water (75%) and trees (14%), and within 50 miles by water (96%).

This report illustrates the typical weather in Shikotan, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Shikotan is further than 200 kilometers from the nearest reliable weather station, so the weather-related data on this page were taken entirely from NASA's MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

The temperature and dew point estimates are corrected for the difference between the reference elevation of the MERRA-2 grid cell and the elevation of Shikotan, according to the International Standard Atmosphere .

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors.

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