Fall Weather in Esil KazakhstanDaily high temperatures decrease by 54°F, from 73°F to 19°F, rarely falling below 5°F or exceeding 85°F. Daily low temperatures decrease by 43°F, from 49°F to 6°F, rarely falling below -10°F or exceeding 58°F. For reference, on June 30, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Esil typically range from 59°F to 83°F, while on January 16, the coldest day of the year, they range from -4°F to 10°F. The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average fall temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day. Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada (5,240 miles away) and Headingley, Manitoba, Canada (5,343 miles) are the far-away foreign places with temperatures most similar to Esil (view comparison). CloudsThe fall in Esil experiences very rapidly increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 37% to 72%. The clearest day of the fall is September 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 63% of the time. For reference, on January 4, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 82%, while on July 28, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 69%. PrecipitationA wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Esil, the chance of a wet day over the course of the fall is gradually decreasing, starting the season at 13% and ending it at 10%. For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 19% on July 7, and its lowest chance is 4% on February 17. Over the course of the fall in Esil, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 13% to 0%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain remains an essentially constant 1% throughout, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 9%. RainfallTo show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day. The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the fall in Esil is decreasing, starting the season at 0.6 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.3 inches or falls below 0.1 inches, and ending the season at 0.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.2 inches. SnowfallAs with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day. The average sliding 31-day snowfall during the fall in Esil is rapidly increasing, starting the season at 0.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.0 inches or falls below -0.0 inches, and ending the season at 3.9 inches, when it rarely exceeds 8.0 inches or falls below 0.6 inches. SunOver the course of the fall in Esil, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day decreases by 5 hours, 26 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 3 minutes, 37 seconds, and weekly decrease of 25 minutes, 20 seconds. The shortest day of the fall is November 30, with 8 hours, 9 minutes of daylight and the longest day is September 1, with 13 hours, 34 minutes of daylight. The earliest sunrise of the fall in Esil is 5:46 AM on September 1 and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 32 minutes later at 8:18 AM on November 30. The latest sunset is 7:20 PM on September 1 and the earliest sunset is 2 hours, 54 minutes earlier at 4:27 PM on November 30. Daylight saving time is observed in Esil during 2024, but it neither starts nor ends during the fall, so the entire season is in standard time. For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 4:14 AM and sets 16 hours, 44 minutes later, at 8:57 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:40 AM and sets 7 hours, 45 minutes later, at 4:25 PM. The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation. MoonThe figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the fall of 2024. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon. HumidityWe base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night. The chance that a given day will be muggy in Esil is essentially constant during the fall, remaining around 0% throughout. For reference, on June 28, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time. WindThis section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages. The average hourly wind speed in Esil is rapidly increasing during the fall, increasing from 9.6 miles per hour to 12.3 miles per hour over the course of the season. For reference, on March 2, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 13.0 miles per hour, while on July 31, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 8.8 miles per hour. The wind direction in Esil during the fall is predominantly out of the west from September 1 to November 20 and the south from November 20 to November 30. Growing SeasonDefinitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere). The growing season in Esil typically lasts for 4.8 months (148 days), from around May 4 to around September 28, rarely starting before April 15 or after May 21, and rarely ending before September 11 or after October 16. During the fall in Esil, the chance that a given day is within the growing season is very rapidly decreasing falling from 99% to 0% over the course of the season. Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F. The average accumulated growing degree days in Esil are increasing during the fall, increasing by 254°F, from 2,142°F to 2,396°F, over the course of the season. Solar EnergyThis section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation. The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Esil is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling by 3.9 kWh, from 4.9 kWh to 0.9 kWh, over the course of the season. TopographyFor the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Esil are 51.955 deg latitude, 66.408 deg longitude, and 725 ft elevation. The topography within 2 miles of Esil is essentially flat, with a maximum elevation change of 62 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 729 feet. Within 10 miles is essentially flat (430 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (886 feet). The area within 2 miles of Esil is covered by sparse vegetation (61%) and cropland (14%), within 10 miles by sparse vegetation (32%) and cropland (30%), and within 50 miles by cropland (45%) and sparse vegetation (19%). Data SourcesThis report illustrates the typical weather in Esil, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016. Esil is further than 200 kilometers from the nearest reliable weather station, so the weather-related data on this page were taken entirely from NASA's MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid. The temperature and dew point estimates are corrected for the difference between the reference elevation of the MERRA-2 grid cell and the elevation of Esil, according to the International Standard Atmosphere . All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus. Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database . Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com . Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors. DisclaimerThe information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site. We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands. We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader. Please review our full terms contained on our Terms of Service page. |