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Fall Weather in Aral Kazakhstan

Daily high temperatures decrease by 53°F, from 82°F to 29°F, rarely falling below 15°F or exceeding 93°F.

Daily low temperatures decrease by 43°F, from 59°F to 16°F, rarely falling below -1°F or exceeding 67°F.

For reference, on July 13, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Aral typically range from 69°F to 92°F, while on February 4, the coldest day of the year, they range from 5°F to 19°F.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Fall in Aral

Average High and Low Temperature in the Fall in AralSepOctNov-10°F-10°F0°F0°F10°F10°F20°F20°F30°F30°F40°F40°F50°F50°F60°F60°F70°F70°F80°F80°F90°F90°F100°F100°FSummerWinterSep 182°FSep 182°F59°F59°FNov 3029°FNov 3029°F16°F16°FOct 166°FOct 166°F44°F44°FNov 147°FNov 147°F30°F30°FNowNow
The daily average high (red line) and low (blue line) temperature, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted lines are the corresponding average perceived temperatures.

The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average fall temperatures. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.

Average Hourly Temperature in the Fall in Aral

Average Hourly Temperature in the Fall in AralSepOctNov12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinterNowNowfrigidfreezingvery coldcoldcoolcomfortablewarmwarmhot
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The average hourly temperature, color coded into bands. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

Redwood Falls, Minnesota, United States (5,976 miles away) is the far-away foreign place with temperatures most similar to Aral (view comparison).

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The fall in Aral experiences very rapidly increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 18% to 50%.

The clearest day of the fall is September 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 82% of the time.

For reference, on January 25, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 69%, while on August 3, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 86%.

Cloud Cover Categories in the Fall in Aral

Cloud Cover Categories in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%SummerWinterSep 182%Sep 182%Nov 3050%Nov 3050%Oct 170%Oct 170%Nov 153%Nov 153%NowNowclearmostly clearpartly cloudyovercast
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
The percentage of time spent in each cloud cover band, categorized by the percentage of the sky covered by clouds.

A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Aral, the chance of a wet day over the course of the fall is gradually increasing, starting the season at 3% and ending it at 5%.

For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 9% on April 23, and its lowest chance is 2% on August 4.

Over the course of the fall in Aral, the chance of a day with only rain remains an essentially constant 5% throughout, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain remains an essentially constant 1% throughout, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 2%.

Probability of Precipitation in the Fall in Aral

Probability of Precipitation in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0%0%1%1%2%2%3%3%4%4%5%5%6%6%7%7%8%8%9%9%SummerWinterOct 228%Oct 228%Sep 13%Sep 13%Nov 305%Nov 305%Oct 15%Oct 15%NowNowsnowmixedrain
The percentage of days in which various types of precipitation are observed, excluding trace quantities: rain alone, snow alone, and mixed (both rain and snow fell in the same day).

Rainfall

To show variation within the season and not just the monthly totals, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day rainfall during the fall in Aral is essentially constant, remaining about 0.2 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 0.7 inches.

The highest average 31-day accumulation is 0.3 inches on October 25.

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Fall in Aral

Average Monthly Rainfall in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0.0 in0.0 in0.5 in0.5 in1.0 in1.0 in1.5 in1.5 inSummerWinterOct 250.3 inOct 250.3 inSep 10.2 inSep 10.2 inNov 300.1 inNov 300.1 inOct 10.2 inOct 10.2 inNowNow
The average rainfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average snowfall.

Snowfall

As with rainfall, we consider the snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.

The average sliding 31-day snowfall during the fall in Aral is increasing, starting the season at -0.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds -0.0 inches or falls below -0.0 inches, and ending the season at 1.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 3.3 inches or falls below -0.0 inches.

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Fall in Aral

Average Monthly Snowfall in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0 in0 in1 in1 in2 in2 in3 in3 in4 in4 in5 in5 inSummerWinterSep 1-0.0 inSep 1-0.0 inNov 301.1 inNov 301.1 inOct 10.0 inOct 10.0 inNov 10.3 inNov 10.3 inNowNow
The average snowfall (solid line) accumulated over the course of a sliding 31-day period centered on the day in question, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands. The thin dotted line is the corresponding average rainfall.

Over the course of the fall in Aral, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the season, the length of the day decreases by 4 hours, 28 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 2 minutes, 59 seconds, and weekly decrease of 20 minutes, 53 seconds.

The shortest day of the fall is November 30, with 8 hours, 51 minutes of daylight and the longest day is September 1, with 13 hours, 19 minutes of daylight.

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Fall in Aral

Hours of Daylight and Twilight in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0 hr24 hr4 hr20 hr8 hr16 hr12 hr12 hr16 hr8 hr20 hr4 hr24 hr0 hrSummerWinterSep 2212 hr, 10 minSep 2212 hr, 10 minnightnightdaydayNov 308 hr, 51 minNov 308 hr, 51 minNov 110 hr, 1 minNov 110 hr, 1 minNowNow
The number of hours during which the Sun is visible (black line). From bottom (most yellow) to top (most gray), the color bands indicate: full daylight, twilight (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and full night.

The earliest sunrise of the fall in Aral is 6:13 AM on September 1 and the latest sunrise is 2 hours, 3 minutes later at 8:16 AM on November 30.

The latest sunset is 7:32 PM on September 1 and the earliest sunset is 2 hours, 25 minutes earlier at 5:07 PM on November 30.

Daylight saving time is not observed in Aral during 2024.

For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 4:58 AM and sets 15 hours, 52 minutes later, at 8:51 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:35 AM and sets 8 hours, 32 minutes later, at 5:07 PM.

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in the Fall in Aral

Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in the Fall in AralSepOctNov2 AM4 AM6 AM8 AM10 AM12 PM2 PM4 PM6 PM8 PM10 PM12 AMSummerWinter6:13 AM6:13 AMSep 17:32 PMSep 17:32 PM8:16 AM8:16 AMNov 305:07 PMNov 305:07 PM6:52 AM6:52 AMOct 16:32 PMOct 16:32 PM7:35 AM7:35 AMNov 15:37 PMNov 15:37 PMSolarMidnightSolarMidnightSolarNoonSunriseSunsetNowNow
The solar day in the fall. From bottom to top, the black lines are the previous solar midnight, sunrise, solar noon, sunset, and the next solar midnight. The day, twilights (civil, nautical, and astronomical), and night are indicated by the color bands from yellow to gray.

The figure below presents a compact representation of the sun's elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon) and azimuth (its compass bearing) for every hour of every day in the reporting period. The horizontal axis is the day of the year and the vertical axis is the hour of the day. For a given day and hour of that day, the background color indicates the azimuth of the sun at that moment. The black isolines are contours of constant solar elevation.

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Fall in Aral

Solar Elevation and Azimuth in the Fall in AralSepOctNov12 AM12 AM2 AM2 AM4 AM4 AM6 AM6 AM8 AM8 AM10 AM10 AM12 PM12 PM2 PM2 PM4 PM4 PM6 PM6 PM8 PM8 PM10 PM10 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinter00102030001010203040NowNow
northeastsouthwest
Solar elevation and azimuth in the the fall of 2024. The black lines are lines of constant solar elevation (the angle of the sun above the horizon, in degrees). The background color fills indicate the azimuth (the compass bearing) of the sun. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries of the cardinal compass points indicate the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

The figure below presents a compact representation of key lunar data for the fall of 2024. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the colored areas indicate when the moon is above the horizon. The vertical gray bars (new Moons) and blue bars (full Moons) indicate key Moon phases. The label associated with each bar indicates the date and time that the phase is obtained, and the companion time labels indicate the rise and set times of the Moon for the nearest time interval in which the moon is above the horizon.

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Fall in Aral

Moon Rise, Set & Phases in the Fall in AralSepOctNov12 AM12 AM4 AM4 AM8 AM8 AM12 PM12 PM4 PM4 PM8 PM8 PM12 AM12 AMSummerWinterAug 44:14 PMAug 44:14 PMAug 1911:26 PMAug 1911:26 PMSep 36:56 AMSep 36:56 AMSep 187:35 AMSep 187:35 AMOct 211:50 PMOct 211:50 PMOct 174:27 PMOct 174:27 PMNov 15:48 PMNov 15:48 PMNov 162:29 AMNov 162:29 AMDec 111:22 AMDec 111:22 AMDec 152:02 PMDec 152:02 PMDec 313:28 AMDec 313:28 AM8:45 PM8:45 PM8:07 PM8:07 PM6:15 AM6:15 AM7:45 PM7:45 PM6:50 PM6:50 PM6:34 AM6:34 AM6:14 AM6:14 AM6:20 PM6:20 PM5:49 PM5:49 PM8:18 AM8:18 AM7:22 AM7:22 AM5:14 PM5:14 PM4:36 PM4:36 PM8:39 AM8:39 AM8:39 AM8:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 PM9:27 AM9:27 AM5:17 PM5:17 PMNowNow
The time in which the moon is above the horizon (light blue area), with new moons (dark gray lines) and full moons (blue lines) indicated. The shaded overlays indicate night and civil twilight.

We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.

The chance that a given day will be muggy in Aral is essentially constant during the fall, remaining around 0% throughout.

For reference, on July 13, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 3% of the time, while on September 13, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Fall in Aral

Humidity Comfort Levels in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0%0%10%10%20%20%30%30%40%40%50%50%60%60%70%70%80%80%90%90%100%100%SummerWinterSep 10%Sep 10%Nov 300%Nov 300%Oct 10%Oct 10%Nov 10%Nov 10%NowNowdrydrycomfortablecomfortable
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
The percentage of time spent at various humidity comfort levels, categorized by dew point.

This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.

The average hourly wind speed in Aral is essentially constant during the fall, remaining within 0.2 miles per hour of 9.9 miles per hour throughout.

For reference, on March 21, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.1 miles per hour, while on November 10, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 9.8 miles per hour.

The lowest daily average wind speed during the fall is 9.8 miles per hour on November 11.

Average Wind Speed in the Fall in Aral

Average Wind Speed in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0 mph0 mph2 mph2 mph4 mph4 mph6 mph6 mph8 mph8 mph10 mph10 mph12 mph12 mph14 mph14 mph16 mph16 mphSummerWinterNov 119.8 mphNov 119.8 mphSep 110.0 mphSep 110.0 mphNov 309.8 mphNov 309.8 mphOct 110.0 mphOct 110.0 mphNowNow
The average of mean hourly wind speeds (dark gray line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

The wind direction in Aral during the fall is predominantly out of the north from September 1 to September 6, the west from September 6 to November 4, and the east from November 4 to November 30.

Wind Direction in the Fall in Aral

Wind Direction in the Fall in AralNWESepOctNov0%100%20%80%40%60%60%40%80%20%100%0%SummerWinterNowNowwestsoutheastnorth
northeastsouthwest
The percentage of hours in which the mean wind direction is from each of the four cardinal wind directions, excluding hours in which the mean wind speed is less than 1.0 mph. The lightly tinted areas at the boundaries are the percentage of hours spent in the implied intermediate directions (northeast, southeast, southwest, and northwest).

Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).

The growing season in Aral typically lasts for 6.1 months (186 days), from around April 10 to around October 14, rarely starting before March 24 or after April 30, and rarely ending before September 25 or after November 1.

During the fall in Aral, the chance that a given day is within the growing season is very rapidly decreasing falling from 100% to -0% over the course of the season.

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Fall in Aral

Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in the Fall in Aralgrowing seasonSepOctNov0%100%10%90%20%80%30%70%40%60%50%50%60%40%70%30%80%20%90%10%100%0%SummerWinter100%Sep 1100%Sep 1Nov 30-0%Nov 30-0%81%Oct 181%Oct 1Nov 110%Nov 110%frigidfreezingvery coldcoldcoolcomfortablewarmhotsweltering
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The percentage of time spent in various temperature bands. The black line is the percentage chance that a given day is within the growing season.

Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.

The average accumulated growing degree days in Aral are rapidly increasing during the fall, increasing by 538°F, from 3,281°F to 3,820°F, over the course of the season.

Growing Degree Days in the Fall in Aral

Growing Degree Days in the Fall in AralSepOctNov3,000°F3,000°F3,200°F3,200°F3,400°F3,400°F3,600°F3,600°F3,800°F3,800°F4,000°F4,000°FSummerWinterSep 13,281°FSep 13,281°FNov 303,820°FNov 303,820°FOct 13,708°FOct 13,708°FNov 13,812°FNov 13,812°FNowNow
The average growing degree days accumulated over the course of the fall, with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.

The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Aral is very rapidly decreasing during the fall, falling by 4.4 kWh, from 5.9 kWh to 1.5 kWh, over the course of the season.

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Fall in Aral

Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in the Fall in AralSepOctNov0 kWh0 kWh1 kWh1 kWh2 kWh2 kWh3 kWh3 kWh4 kWh4 kWh5 kWh5 kWh6 kWh6 kWh7 kWh7 kWh8 kWh8 kWhSummerWinterSep 15.9 kWhSep 15.9 kWhNov 301.5 kWhNov 301.5 kWhOct 14.1 kWhOct 14.1 kWhNov 12.3 kWhNov 12.3 kWhNowNow
The average daily shortwave solar energy reaching the ground per square meter (orange line), with 25th to 75th and 10th to 90th percentile bands.

For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Aral are 46.800 deg latitude, 61.667 deg longitude, and 187 ft elevation.

The topography within 2 miles of Aral contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 102 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 193 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (348 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (735 feet).

The area within 2 miles of Aral is covered by bare soil (98%), within 10 miles by bare soil (100%), and within 50 miles by bare soil (89%).

This report illustrates the typical weather in Aral, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.

Temperature and Dew Point

There is only a single weather station, Aralskoe More, in our network suitable to be used as a proxy for the historical temperature and dew point records of Aral.

At a distance of 2 kilometer from Aral, closer than our threshold of 150 kilometers, this station is deemed sufficiently nearby to be relied upon as our primary source for temperature and dew point records.

The station records are corrected for the elevation difference between the station and Aral according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.

Please note that the station records themselves may additionally have been back-filled using other nearby stations or the MERRA-2 reanalysis.

Other Data

All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.

All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.

Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .

Time zones for airports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .

Maps are © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Disclaimer

The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.

We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.

We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.

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