Average Weather in October in Carlyle Canada
Daily high temperatures decrease by 17°F, from 58°F to 41°F, rarely falling below 25°F or exceeding 73°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 12°F, from 37°F to 25°F, rarely falling below 12°F or exceeding 46°F.
For reference, on July 28, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Carlyle typically range from 55°F to 77°F, while on January 12, the coldest day of the year, they range from -2°F to 14°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in October
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on October. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The month of October in Carlyle experiences increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 44% to 52%.
The clearest day of the month is October 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 56% of the time.
For reference, on February 20, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 67%, while on July 28, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 72%.
Cloud Cover Categories in October
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Carlyle, the chance of a wet day over the course of October is gradually decreasing, starting the month at 14% and ending it at 11%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 35% on June 22, and its lowest chance is 4% on February 12.
Over the course of October in Carlyle, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 13% to 5%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain remains an essentially constant 1% throughout, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 4%.
Probability of Precipitation in October
To show variation within the month and not just the monthly total, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during October in Carlyle is decreasing, starting the month at 1.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 2.1 inches or falls below 0.2 inches, and ending the month at 0.4 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.9 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in October
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. As with rainfall, we consider the liquid-equivalent snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall during October in Carlyle is essentially constant, remaining about 0.2 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 0.7 inches or falling below -0.0 inches.
Average Monthly Liquid-Equivalent Snowfall in October
Over the course of October in Carlyle, the length of the day is rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day decreases by 1 hour, 46 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 3 minutes, 33 seconds, and weekly decrease of 24 minutes, 48 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is October 31, with 9 hours, 50 minutes of daylight and the longest day is October 1, with 11 hours, 36 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in October
The earliest sunrise of the month in Carlyle is 6:49 AM on October 1 and the latest sunrise is 47 minutes later at 7:37 AM on October 31.
The latest sunset is 6:26 PM on October 1 and the earliest sunset is 59 minutes earlier at 5:27 PM on October 31.
Daylight saving time is not observed in Carlyle during 2020.
For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 4:41 AM and sets 16 hours, 19 minutes later, at 9:00 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:43 AM and sets 8 hours, 8 minutes later, at 4:51 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight in October
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Carlyle is essentially constant during October, remaining around 0% throughout.
For reference, on July 19, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 6% of the time, while on January 1, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in October
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Carlyle is essentially constant during October, remaining within 0.2 miles per hour of 11.4 miles per hour throughout.
For reference, on March 30, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.3 miles per hour, while on July 21, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 9.3 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in October
The hourly average wind direction in Carlyle throughout October is predominantly from the west, with a peak proportion of 39% on October 22.
Wind Direction in October
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season in Carlyle typically lasts for 4.2 months (128 days), from around May 14 to around September 19, rarely starting before April 28 or after May 30, and rarely ending before September 1 or after October 6.
The month of October in Carlyle is more likely than not fully outside of the growing season, with the chance that a given day is in the growing season decreasing from 19% to 0% over the course of the month.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Carlyle are gradually increasing during October, increasing by 44°F, from 1,636°F to 1,680°F, over the course of the month.
Growing Degree Days in October
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Carlyle is decreasing during October, falling by 1.4 kWh, from 3.5 kWh to 2.1 kWh, over the course of the month.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in October
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Carlyle are 49.633 deg latitude, -102.268 deg longitude, and 2,060 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Carlyle contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 131 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 2,064 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (755 feet). Within 50 miles contains significant variations in elevation (1,237 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Carlyle is covered by cropland (91%), within 10 miles by cropland (82%), and within 50 miles by cropland (86%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Carlyle year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 4 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Carlyle.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Carlyle according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Carlyle is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Carlyle and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Estevan Regional Aerodrome (39%, 69 kilometers, southwest); Broadview, Sask. (28%, 85 kilometers, north); Melita, Man (21%, 101 kilometers, east); and Shoal Lake Airport (12%, 150 kilometers, northeast).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.