Average Weather in October in Seward Alaska, United States
Daily high temperatures decrease by 11°F, from 50°F to 39°F, rarely falling below 31°F or exceeding 55°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 9°F, from 39°F to 31°F, rarely falling below 22°F or exceeding 45°F.
For reference, on July 31, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Seward typically range from 51°F to 62°F, while on January 20, the coldest day of the year, they range from 22°F to 31°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in October
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on October. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
The month of October in Seward experiences essentially constant cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy remaining about 66% throughout the month.
The clearest day of the month is October 23, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 36% of the time.
For reference, on December 17, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 72%, while on March 15, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 38%.
Cloud Cover Categories in October
0% clear 20% mostly clear 40% partly cloudy 60% mostly cloudy 80% overcast 100%
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Seward, the chance of a wet day over the course of October is rapidly decreasing, starting the month at 56% and ending it at 50%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 57% on September 23, and its lowest chance is 38% on July 5.
Over the course of October in Seward, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 55% to 38%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 1% to 10%, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 2%.
Probability of Precipitation in October
To show variation within the month and not just the monthly total, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during October in Seward is very rapidly decreasing, starting the month at 10.0 inches, when it rarely exceeds 15.1 inches or falls below 5.2 inches, and ending the month at 7.7 inches, when it rarely exceeds 13.1 inches or falls below 3.0 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in October
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. As with rainfall, we consider the liquid-equivalent snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall during October in Seward is increasing, starting the month at 0.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 0.2 inches or falls below -0.0 inches, and ending the month at 0.6 inches, when it rarely exceeds 1.6 inches.
Average Monthly Liquid-Equivalent Snowfall in October
Over the course of October in Seward, the length of the day is very rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day decreases by 2 hours, 41 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 5 minutes, 21 seconds, and weekly decrease of 37 minutes, 29 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is October 31, with 8 hours, 42 minutes of daylight and the longest day is October 1, with 11 hours, 23 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in October
The earliest sunrise of the month in Seward is 8:05 AM on October 1 and the latest sunrise is 1 hour, 15 minutes later at 9:19 AM on October 31.
The latest sunset is 7:27 PM on October 1 and the earliest sunset is 1 hour, 26 minutes earlier at 6:01 PM on October 31.
Daylight saving time is observed in Seward during 2020, but it neither starts nor ends during October, so the entire month is in daylight saving time.
For reference, on June 20, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 4:32 AM and sets 18 hours, 55 minutes later, at 11:26 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 10:01 AM and sets 5 hours, 50 minutes later, at 3:51 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in October
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Seward is essentially constant during October, remaining around 0% throughout.
Humidity Comfort Levels in October
dry 55°F comfortable 60°F humid 65°F muggy 70°F oppressive 75°F miserable
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Seward is gradually increasing during October, increasing from 8.9 miles per hour to 9.6 miles per hour over the course of the month.
For reference, on January 8, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 11.1 miles per hour, while on July 5, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 5.5 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in October
The wind direction in Seward during October is predominantly out of the east from October 1 to October 9 and the north from October 9 to October 31.
Wind Direction in October
Seward is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Seward is decreasing during October, falling by 4°F, from 50°F to 46°F, over the course of the month.
Average Water Temperature in October
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season in Seward typically lasts for 5.1 months (158 days), from around May 2 to around October 7, rarely starting before April 12 or after May 23, and rarely ending before September 19 or after October 25.
During October in Seward, the chance that a given day is within the growing season is very rapidly decreasing falling from 67% to 4% over the course of the month.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in October
frigid 15°F freezing 32°F very cold 45°F cold 55°F cool 65°F comfortable 75°F warm 85°F hot 95°F sweltering
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Seward are essentially constant during October, remaining within 1°F of 500°F throughout.
Growing Degree Days in October
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Seward is gradually decreasing during October, falling by 0.9 kWh, from 1.7 kWh to 0.8 kWh, over the course of the month.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in October
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Seward are 60.104 deg latitude, -149.443 deg longitude, and 112 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Seward contains large variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 3,271 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 711 feet. Within 10 miles contains large variations in elevation (5,433 feet). Within 50 miles also contains extreme variations in elevation (6,575 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Seward is covered by water (42%), shrubs (18%), trees (14%), and bare soil (13%), within 10 miles by snow and glaciers (23%) and trees (21%), and within 50 miles by water (33%) and snow and glaciers (21%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Seward year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Seward.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Seward according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Seward is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Seward and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Seward Airport (99%, 3.0 kilometers, northeast); Soldotna Airport (0.9%, 97 kilometers, northwest); and Homer Airport (0.6%, 125 kilometers, southwest).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Algorithms 2nd Edition , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.