Average Weather in November in Chelsea Michigan, United States
Daily high temperatures decrease by 13°F, from 54°F to 41°F, rarely falling below 29°F or exceeding 67°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 9°F, from 38°F to 29°F, rarely falling below 18°F or exceeding 50°F.
For reference, on July 19, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Chelsea typically range from 63°F to 83°F, while on January 29, the coldest day of the year, they range from 17°F to 30°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in November
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on November. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in November
The month of November in Chelsea experiences increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 49% to 59%.
The clearest day of the month is November 2, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 51% of the time.
For reference, on January 10, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 65%, while on August 23, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 67%.
Cloud Cover Categories in November
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Chelsea, the chance of a wet day over the course of November is essentially constant, remaining around 23% throughout.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 35% on June 13, and its lowest chance is 16% on February 3.
Over the course of November in Chelsea, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 22% to 17%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 1% to 4%, and the chance of a day with only snow increases from 0% to 2%.
Probability of Precipitation in November
To show variation within the month and not just the monthly total, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during November in Chelsea is gradually decreasing, starting the month at 2.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 3.5 inches or falls below 0.8 inches, and ending the month at 1.7 inches, when it rarely exceeds 2.8 inches or falls below 0.7 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in November
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. As with rainfall, we consider the liquid-equivalent snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall during November in Chelsea is essentially constant, remaining about 0.1 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 0.6 inches or falling below -0.0 inches.
Average Monthly Liquid-Equivalent Snowfall in November
Over the course of November in Chelsea, the length of the day is decreasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day decreases by 1 hour, 0 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 2 minutes, 3 seconds, and weekly decrease of 14 minutes, 23 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is November 30, with 9 hours, 20 minutes of daylight and the longest day is November 1, with 10 hours, 20 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in November
The latest sunrise of the month in Chelsea is 8:11 AM on November 3 and the earliest sunrise is 59 minutes earlier at 7:13 AM on November 4.
The latest sunset is 6:29 PM on November 1 and the earliest sunset is 1 hour, 25 minutes earlier at 5:04 PM on November 30.
Daylight saving time (DST) ends at 1:00 AM on November 4, 2018, shifting sunrise and sunset to be an hour earlier.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:59 AM and sets 15 hours, 17 minutes later, at 9:16 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:01 AM and sets 9 hours, 5 minutes later, at 5:06 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in November
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Chelsea is essentially constant during November, remaining around 0% throughout.
For reference, on August 1, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 34% of the time, while on November 15, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in November
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Chelsea is gradually increasing during November, increasing from 11.3 miles per hour to 11.9 miles per hour over the course of the month.
For reference, on January 15, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.9 miles per hour, while on August 4, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 7.9 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in November
Wind Direction in November
Chelsea is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Chelsea is rapidly decreasing during November, falling by 9°F, from 53°F to 44°F, over the course of the month.
Average Water Temperature in November
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season in Chelsea typically lasts for 5.6 months (171 days), from around April 27 to around October 14, rarely starting before April 10 or after May 14, and rarely ending before September 26 or after November 1.
The month of November in Chelsea is more likely than not fully outside of the growing season, with the chance that a given day is in the growing season decreasing from 10% to -0% over the course of the month.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in November
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Chelsea are gradually increasing during November, increasing by 36°F, from 2,839°F to 2,875°F, over the course of the month.
Growing Degree Days in November
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Chelsea is gradually decreasing during November, falling by 1.0 kWh, from 2.6 kWh to 1.6 kWh, over the course of the month.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in November
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Chelsea are 42.318 deg latitude, -84.022 deg longitude, and 928 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Chelsea contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 131 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 919 feet. Within 10 miles also contains only modest variations in elevation (322 feet). Within 50 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (804 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Chelsea is covered by cropland (63%), trees (21%), and artificial surfaces (16%), within 10 miles by cropland (53%) and trees (38%), and within 50 miles by cropland (61%) and artificial surfaces (20%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Chelsea year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 5 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Chelsea.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Chelsea according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Chelsea is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Chelsea and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Livingston County Spencer J. Hardy Airport (25%, 35 kilometers, north); Jackson County Airport (23%, 37 kilometers, west); Willow Run Airport (19%, 41 kilometers, east); Mason Jewett Field (18%, 44 kilometers, northwest); and Lenawee County Airport (14%, 50 kilometers, south).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.