Average Weather in February in Mancelona Michigan, United States
Daily low temperatures increase by 4°F, from 11°F to 15°F, rarely falling below -5°F or exceeding 30°F.
For reference, on July 19, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Mancelona typically range from 57°F to 79°F, while on January 29, the coldest day of the year, they range from 11°F to 25°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in February
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on February. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in February
The month of February in Mancelona experiences gradually decreasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy decreasing from 76% to 69%.
The clearest day of the month is February 28, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 31% of the time.
For reference, on January 11, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 78%, while on August 8, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 67%.
Cloud Cover Categories in February
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Mancelona, the chance of a wet day over the course of February is gradually increasing, starting the month at 16% and ending it at 18%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 36% on September 22, and its lowest chance is 15% on February 4.
Over the course of February in Mancelona, the chance of a day with only rain increases from 2% to 4%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 2% to 5%, and the chance of a day with only snow decreases from 12% to 9%.
Probability of Precipitation in February
To show variation within the month and not just the monthly total, we show the rainfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during February in Mancelona is essentially constant, remaining about 0.4 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 1.2 inches.
The lowest average 31-day accumulation is 0.3 inches on February 4.
Average Monthly Rainfall in February
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. As with rainfall, we consider the liquid-equivalent snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall during February in Mancelona is essentially constant, remaining about 0.6 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 1.3 inches or falling below 0.1 inches.
Average Monthly Liquid-Equivalent Snowfall in February
Over the course of February in Mancelona, the length of the day is rapidly increasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day increases by 1 hour, 18 minutes, implying an average daily increase of 2 minutes, 54 seconds, and weekly increase of 20 minutes, 15 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is February 1, with 9 hours, 49 minutes of daylight and the longest day is February 28, with 11 hours, 8 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in February
The latest sunrise of the month in Mancelona is 7:59 AM on February 1 and the earliest sunrise is 40 minutes earlier at 7:19 AM on February 28.
The earliest sunset is 5:48 PM on February 1 and the latest sunset is 38 minutes later at 6:26 PM on February 28.
Daylight saving time is observed in Mancelona during 2017, but it neither starts nor ends during February, so the entire month is in standard time.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:53 AM and sets 15 hours, 36 minutes later, at 9:30 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:15 AM and sets 8 hours, 47 minutes later, at 5:01 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in February
We base the humidity comfort level on the dew point, as it determines whether perspiration will evaporate from the skin, thereby cooling the body. Lower dew points feel drier and higher dew points feel more humid. Unlike temperature, which typically varies significantly between night and day, dew point tends to change more slowly, so while the temperature may drop at night, a muggy day is typically followed by a muggy night.
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Mancelona is essentially constant during February, remaining around 0% throughout.
For reference, on July 30, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 16% of the time, while on November 16, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in February
This section discusses the wide-area hourly average wind vector (speed and direction) at 10 meters above the ground. The wind experienced at any given location is highly dependent on local topography and other factors, and instantaneous wind speed and direction vary more widely than hourly averages.
The average hourly wind speed in Mancelona is essentially constant during February, remaining within 0.1 miles per hour of 12.0 miles per hour throughout.
For reference, on January 13, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.3 miles per hour, while on August 3, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 8.1 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in February
Wind Direction in February
Mancelona is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Mancelona is essentially constant during February, remaining within 1°F of 35°F throughout.
Average Water Temperature in February
Definitions of the growing season vary throughout the world, but for the purposes of this report, we define it as the longest continuous period of non-freezing temperatures (≥ 32°F) in the year (the calendar year in the Northern Hemisphere, or from July 1 until June 30 in the Southern Hemisphere).
The growing season in Mancelona typically lasts for 4.1 months (127 days), from around May 24 to around September 27, rarely starting before May 5 or after June 11, and rarely ending before September 10 or after October 14.
The month of February in Mancelona is reliably fully outside of the growing season.
Time Spent in Various Temperature Bands and the Growing Season in February
Growing degree days are a measure of yearly heat accumulation used to predict plant and animal development, and defined as the integral of warmth above a base temperature, discarding any excess above a maximum temperature. In this report, we use a base of 50°F and a cap of 86°F.
The average accumulated growing degree days in Mancelona are essentially constant during February, remaining around 0°F throughout.
Growing Degree Days in February
This section discusses the total daily incident shortwave solar energy reaching the surface of the ground over a wide area, taking full account of seasonal variations in the length of the day, the elevation of the Sun above the horizon, and absorption by clouds and other atmospheric constituents. Shortwave radiation includes visible light and ultraviolet radiation.
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Mancelona is increasing during February, rising by 1.1 kWh, from 1.8 kWh to 2.9 kWh, over the course of the month.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in February
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Mancelona are 44.902 deg latitude, -85.061 deg longitude, and 1,132 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Mancelona contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 315 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,158 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (883 feet). Within 50 miles also contains very significant variations in elevation (1,234 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Mancelona is covered by cropland (35%), grassland (28%), and trees (28%), within 10 miles by trees (77%), and within 50 miles by trees (56%) and water (22%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Mancelona year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Mancelona.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Mancelona according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Mancelona is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Mancelona and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Antrim County Airport (50%, 15 kilometers, northwest); Gaylord Regional Airport (28%, 31 kilometers, northeast); and Grayling, Grayling Army Airfield (23%, 36 kilometers, southeast).
All data relating to the Sun's position (e.g., sunrise and sunset) are computed using astronomical formulas from the book, Astronomical Tables of the Sun, Moon and Planets , by Jean Meeus.
All other weather data, including cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and direction, and solar flux, come from NASA's MERRA-2 Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid.
Land Use data comes from the Global Land Cover SHARE database , published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Elevation data comes from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) , published by NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
Names, locations, and time zones of places and some airports come from the GeoNames Geographical Database .
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .
Maps are © Esri, with data from National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, and iPC.
The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site.
We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands.
We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader.