Average Weather in October in Mancelona Michigan, United States
In Mancelona, the month of October is characterized by rapidly falling daily high temperatures, with daily highs decreasing by 13°F, from 61°F to 48°F over the course of the month, and rarely exceeding 74°F or dropping below 36°F.
Daily low temperatures decrease by 9°F, from 43°F to 34°F, rarely falling below 24°F or exceeding 54°F.
For reference, on July 19, the hottest day of the year, temperatures in Mancelona typically range from 57°F to 79°F, while on January 29, the coldest day of the year, they range from 11°F to 25°F.
Average High and Low Temperature in October
The figure below shows you a compact characterization of the hourly average temperatures for the quarter of the year centered on October. The horizontal axis is the day, the vertical axis is the hour of the day, and the color is the average temperature for that hour and day.
Average Hourly Temperature in October
The month of October in Mancelona experiences increasing cloud cover, with the percentage of time that the sky is overcast or mostly cloudy increasing from 44% to 55%.
The clearest day of the month is October 1, with clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy conditions 56% of the time.
For reference, on January 11, the cloudiest day of the year, the chance of overcast or mostly cloudy conditions is 78%, while on August 8, the clearest day of the year, the chance of clear, mostly clear, or partly cloudy skies is 67%.
Cloud Cover Categories in October
A wet day is one with at least 0.04 inches of liquid or liquid-equivalent precipitation. In Mancelona, the chance of a wet day over the course of October is decreasing, starting the month at 34% and ending it at 29%.
For reference, the year's highest daily chance of a wet day is 36% on September 22, and its lowest chance is 15% on February 4.
Over the course of October in Mancelona, the chance of a day with only rain decreases from 33% to 24%, the chance of a day with mixed snow and rain increases from 0% to 3%, and the chance of a day with only snow remains an essentially constant 1% throughout.
Probability of Precipitation in October
The average sliding 31-day rainfall during October in Mancelona is decreasing, starting the month at 3.1 inches, when it rarely exceeds 4.8 inches or falls below 1.5 inches, and ending the month at 2.2 inches, when it rarely exceeds 4.1 inches or falls below 0.8 inches.
Average Monthly Rainfall in October
We report snowfall in liquid-equivalent terms. The actual depth of new snowfall is typically between 5 and 10 times the liquid-equivalent amount, assuming the ground is frozen. As with rainfall, we consider the liquid-equivalent snowfall accumulated over a sliding 31-day period centered around each day.
The average sliding 31-day liquid-equivalent snowfall during October in Mancelona is essentially constant, remaining about 0.1 inches throughout, and rarely exceeding 0.5 inches or falling to 0.0 inches.
Average Monthly Liquid-Equivalent Snowfall in October
Over the course of October in Mancelona, the length of the day is rapidly decreasing. From the start to the end of the month, the length of the day decreases by 1 hour, 30 minutes, implying an average daily decrease of 2 minutes, 59 seconds, and weekly decrease of 20 minutes, 55 seconds.
The shortest day of the month is October 31, with 10 hours, 12 minutes of daylight and the longest day is October 1, with 11 hours, 42 minutes of daylight.
Hours of Daylight and Twilight in October
The earliest sunrise of the month in Mancelona is 7:38 AM on October 1 and the latest sunrise is 39 minutes later at 8:17 AM on October 31.
The latest sunset is 7:20 PM on October 1 and the earliest sunset is 51 minutes earlier at 6:29 PM on October 31.
Daylight saving time is observed in Mancelona during 2017, but it neither starts nor ends during October, so the entire month is in daylight saving time.
For reference, on June 21, the longest day of the year, the Sun rises at 5:53 AM and sets 15 hours, 36 minutes later, at 9:30 PM, while on December 21, the shortest day of the year, it rises at 8:15 AM and sets 8 hours, 47 minutes later, at 5:01 PM.
Sunrise & Sunset with Twilight and Daylight Saving Time in October
The chance that a given day will be muggy in Mancelona is essentially constant during October, remaining around 1% throughout.
For reference, on July 30, the muggiest day of the year, there are muggy conditions 16% of the time, while on November 16, the least muggy day of the year, there are muggy conditions 0% of the time.
Humidity Comfort Levels in October
The average hourly wind speed in Mancelona is gradually increasing during October, increasing from 10.2 miles per hour to 11.0 miles per hour over the course of the month.
For reference, on January 13, the windiest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 12.3 miles per hour, while on August 3, the calmest day of the year, the daily average wind speed is 8.1 miles per hour.
Average Wind Speed in October
Wind Direction in October
Mancelona is located near a large body of water (e.g., ocean, sea, or large lake). This section reports on the wide-area average surface temperature of that water.
The average surface water temperature in Mancelona is rapidly decreasing during October, falling by 9°F, from 59°F to 51°F, over the course of the month.
Average Water Temperature in October
The average daily incident shortwave solar energy in Mancelona is decreasing during October, falling by 1.5 kWh, from 3.7 kWh to 2.2 kWh, over the course of the month.
Average Daily Incident Shortwave Solar Energy in October
For the purposes of this report, the geographical coordinates of Mancelona are 44.902 deg latitude, -85.061 deg longitude, and 1,132 ft elevation.
The topography within 2 miles of Mancelona contains only modest variations in elevation, with a maximum elevation change of 315 feet and an average elevation above sea level of 1,158 feet. Within 10 miles contains only modest variations in elevation (883 feet). Within 50 miles also contains very significant variations in elevation (1,234 feet).
The area within 2 miles of Mancelona is covered by cropland (35%), grassland (28%), and trees (28%), within 10 miles by trees (77%), and within 50 miles by trees (56%) and water (22%).
This report illustrates the typical weather in Mancelona year round, based on a statistical analysis of historical hourly weather reports and model reconstructions from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016.
Temperature and Dew Point
There are 3 weather stations near enough to contribute to our estimation of the temperature and dew point in Mancelona.
For each station, the records are corrected for the elevation difference between that station and Mancelona according to the International Standard Atmosphere , and by the relative change present in the MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis between the two locations.
The estimated value at Mancelona is computed as the weighted average of the individual contributions from each station, with weights proportional to the inverse of the distance between Mancelona and a given station.
The stations contributing to this reconstruction are: Antrim County Airport (50%, 15 kilometers, northwest); Gaylord Regional Airport (28%, 31 kilometers, northeast); and Grayling, Grayling Army Airfield (23%, 36 kilometers, southeast).
Time zones for aiports and weather stations are provided by AskGeo.com .